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Mean home advantage: 5.010293748430831 SD: 17.715557247957296 N1 = raw expected winning margin N2 = expected winning margin, adjusted once for opponents' strength rank team n-Rating N2 N1 W L conference 1. Connecticut 27.750 25.310 20.276 30 1 BigEast 2. LouisianaTech 26.746 24.757 20.899 28 2 SunBelt 3. Tennessee 21.695 18.321 12.283 28 3 SEC 4. Georgia 19.117 16.669 13.166 29 3 SEC 5. PennState 17.785 15.769 12.006 26 4 BigTen 6. Auburn 17.785 14.705 11.323 21 7 SEC 7. OldDominion 17.153 16.098 15.146 27 4 Colonial 8. UCSantaBarbara 16.859 15.778 13.979 30 3 BigWest 9. NotreDame 16.721 14.740 12.370 25 4 BigEast 10. MississippiState 16.539 13.797 9.135 23 7 SEC 11. Duke 16.479 15.164 13.044 26 5 ACC 12. IowaState 15.847 14.238 12.923 25 5 BigTwelve 13. StephenF.Austin 14.480 15.172 15.224 27 3 Southland 14. Xavier 14.255 13.814 12.171 26 4 ATen 15. Vanderbilt 13.987 11.133 6.635 20 12 SEC 16. TexasTech 13.953 12.430 10.008 25 4 BigTwelve 17. Kent 13.166 12.595 11.029 25 5 MAC 18. St.Josephs 12.889 11.833 11.600 24 5 ATen 19. BostonCollege 12.846 10.968 9.143 25 8 BigEast 20. Rutgers 12.802 10.856 6.937 22 7 BigEast 21. LSU 12.387 10.00 7.193 22 6 SEC 22. Oklahoma 12.378 11.098 8.507 23 7 BigTwelve 23. Purdue 11.756 9.731 6.946 22 7 BigTen 24. Utah 11.660 11.055 9.446 22 7 MtnWest 25. Evansville 11.228 10.847 10.882 23 6 MVC 26. GeorgeWashington 11.055 10.138 8.014 25 5 ATen 27. Tulane 10.977 9.628 9.368 26 4 CUSA 28. Stanford 10.960 9.602 7.547 20 8 PacTen 29. Arizona 10.467 9.316 8.157 24 6 PacTen 30. Florida 10.467 7.642 3.683 17 12 SEC 31. Illinois 10.415 8.611 6.008 22 10 BigTen 32. Texas 10.147 8.131 5.514 21 12 BigTwelve 33. Grambling 10.069 10.873 12.500 24 5 SWAC 34. Chattanooga 10.026 10.216 10.968 24 4 Southern 35. SMU 10.00 9.342 7.859 21 8 WAC 36. Michigan 9.896 8.066 6.354 22 7 BigTen 37. SWMissouriState 9.896 9.143 7.517 23 8 MVC 38. NorthCarolinaState 9.801 7.950 5.700 20 8 ACC 39. Vermont 9.792 9.671 9.394 25 5 AmEast 40. Oregon 9.705 8.408 7.257 23 7 PacTen 41. Kentucky 9.463 6.596 2.238 15 14 SEC 42. Drake 9.247 8.291 7.759 23 6 MVC 43. Kansas 9.057 7.374 5.294 20 9 BigTwelve 44. Virginia 8.996 7.621 5.398 23 8 ACC 45. VirginiaTech 8.918 8.222 6.059 19 10 ATen 46. BYU 8.866 8.473 7.452 21 8 MtnWest 47. Liberty 8.732 8.486 9.057 23 7 BigSouth 48. Marquette 8.590 7.240 5.579 22 6 CUSA 49. TennesseeTech 8.490 8.261 8.745 24 8 OVC 50. St.Marys 7.768 7.110 7.102 19 9 WCC 51. WesternKentucky 7.569 6.367 4.293 21 9 SunBelt 52. UCLA 7.565 5.739 3.181 18 10 PacTen 53. SantaClara 7.366 6.994 6.963 21 8 WCC 54. Arkansas 7.149 4.098 0.493 14 14 SEC 55. WichitaState 7.106 6.600 6.488 20 9 MVC 56. Delaware 7.084 7.240 7.443 21 8 AmEast 57. Rice 7.063 6.730 6.617 21 9 WAC 58. ColoradoState 6.799 6.146 5.389 20 9 MtnWest 59. MichiganState 6.795 5.406 4.983 17 11 BigTen 60. Clemson 6.747 5.471 3.542 18 11 ACC 61. WisconsinGreenBay 6.687 6.483 6.782 21 8 MWC 62. ArkansasState 6.401 5.843 3.962 18 11 SunBelt 63. UAB 6.349 5.679 3.877 19 12 CUSA 64. Alabama 6.276 3.672 0.536 15 13 SEC 65. Dartmouth 6.219 6.700 6.738 20 7 Ivy 66. Montana 5.878 6.146 7.534 21 7 BigSky 67. St.FrancisPa. 5.817 6.565 7.720 23 7 Northeast 68. NewMexico 5.791 4.965 4.195 18 10 MtnWest 69. Missouri 5.748 4.143 3.196 17 11 BigTwelve 70. Dayton 5.709 5.082 3.694 15 14 ATen 71. Wisconsin 5.653 4.143 2.396 16 12 BigTen 72. HolyCross 5.627 5.835 7.720 23 6 Patriot 73. FloridaInternational 5.341 4.688 3.404 16 13 SunBelt 74. Nebraska 5.311 3.862 1.894 18 12 BigTwelve 75. NorthwesternState 5.134 5.713 6.284 23 6 Southland 76. YoungstownState 4.905 5.203 5.441 22 8 MidCon 77. NorthCarolina 4.779 3.624 1.345 18 12 ACC 78. Furman 4.693 4.840 5.476 20 10 Southern 79. KansasState 4.693 3.162 0.249 13 17 BigTwelve 80. SouthCarolina 4.593 2.041 -0.475 13 15 SEC 81. GeorgiaState 4.554 5.242 6.232 23 6 TAAC 82. Hawaii 4.511 4.022 3.229 20 8 WAC 83. Campbell 4.494 4.957 5.610 21 8 TAAC 84. Pepperdine 4.394 3.672 4.079 21 9 WCC 85. JamesMadison 4.340 4.693 4.234 19 10 Colonial 86. Maine 4.230 3.871 2.995 20 10 AmEast 87. Georgetown 4.200 3.002 2.498 17 12 BigEast 88. Pacific 4.150 4.316 4.714 18 11 BigWest 89. Fairfield 4.133 4.429 5.956 25 7 MAAC 90. WesternMichigan 4.055 3.443 3.354 18 11 MAC 91. DePaul 4.020 3.025 2.876 17 11 CUSA 92. UNLV 4.003 4.092 3.668 17 12 MtnWest 93. Northeastern 3.914 3.847 3.614 17 13 AmEast 94. AlcornState 3.877 4.784 7.599 21 8 SWAC 95. Mississippi 3.763 1.845 0.242 12 16 SEC 96. OhioState 3.739 2.640 0.859 13 15 BigTen 97. Pittsburgh 3.737 2.405 1.332 16 12 BigEast 98. St.Peters 3.594 4.230 5.099 23 7 MAAC 99. Howard 3.272 3.953 5.679 19 10 MEAC 100. Louisville 3.155 2.154 1.155 14 13 CUSA 101. LongBeachState 3.056 2.898 1.935 20 10 BigWest 102. UNCGreensboro 2.995 2.859 2.755 18 11 Southern 103. ArizonaState 2.965 1.641 1.220 13 14 PacTen 104. Memphis 2.865 1.386 0.303 17 11 CUSA 105. TCU 2.824 2.392 2.318 16 14 WAC 106. Cincinnati 2.742 1.832 0.192 17 12 CUSA 107. Villanova 2.695 1.555 -0.319 15 14 BigEast 108. FloridaState 2.673 1.553 -0.198 12 17 ACC 109. GeorgiaTech 2.671 1.628 -0.122 15 13 ACC 110. EasternMichigan 2.649 3.012 3.092 15 14 MAC 111. USC 2.563 1.077 -0.213 15 13 PacTen 112. OklahomaState 2.318 0.889 -0.293 13 16 BigTwelve 113. Valparaiso 2.163 2.277 2.893 18 12 MidCon 114. Toledo 2.117 1.830 1.306 14 15 MAC 115. SouthernMississippi 2.098 1.170 0.019 17 12 CUSA 116. MiamiFla. 2.052 0.748 -0.561 14 15 BigEast 117. Massachusetts 2.024 1.323 0.699 14 15 ATen 118. OregonState 1.860 1.025 0.264 14 16 PacTen 119. Pennsylvania 1.853 2.550 5.458 18 10 Ivy 120. Oakland 1.840 2.204 3.512 17 10 MidCon 121. Maryland 1.695 1.081 -0.159 14 14 ACC 122. NorthTexas 1.605 1.345 1.806 16 11 BigWest 123. EastTennesseeState 1.548 1.557 1.313 15 12 Southern 124. Iowa 1.538 -0.421 -2.659 9 18 BigTen 125. NorthernIowa 1.533 0.939 0.441 15 13 MVC 126. Buffalo 1.509 1.799 2.312 18 11 MAC 127. Mt.St.Marys 1.501 2.390 3.341 20 9 Northeast 128. Samford 1.453 1.933 3.272 19 10 TAAC 129. Denver 1.393 0.906 0.640 16 11 SunBelt 130. UCIrvine 1.380 1.538 2.305 12 15 BigWest 131. Rider 1.142 1.923 3.066 14 14 MAAC 132. CalStateNorthridge 1.021 1.289 2.431 17 10 BigSky 133. SanFrancisco 1.012 0.433 -0.343 11 16 WCC 134. SouthernUtah 0.921 1.235 1.328 10 15 MidCon 135. TexasA&M 0.856 -0.174 -1.532 10 16 BigTwelve 136. SanDiego 0.846 0.891 1.016 17 12 WCC 137. LoyolaMarymount 0.740 0.376 0.305 13 15 WCC 138. SWTexasState 0.692 1.425 3.968 17 11 Southland 139. CoastalCarolina 0.688 1.049 2.917 17 10 BigSouth 140. EastCarolina 0.677 0.666 0.413 15 14 Colonial 141. UNCCharlotte 0.640 -0.315 -0.948 10 20 CUSA 142. IndianaState 0.612 0.268 -0.423 9 18 MVC 143. NewHampshire 0.532 0.662 0.158 13 15 AmEast 144. BoiseState 0.482 0.668 0.934 14 14 BigWest 145. Tulsa 0.337 -0.079 -0.308 14 15 WAC 146. MiddleTennessee 0.123 0.404 1.548 17 11 OVC 147. Colorado 0.123 -1.450 -4.138 10 19 BigTwelve 148. VirginiaCommonwealth 0.058 -0.055 0.013 15 15 Colonial 149. SaintLouis -0.027 -0.710 -1.054 11 17 CUSA 150. SouthFlorida -0.118 -0.501 -0.881 13 16 CUSA 151. MorganState -0.263 0.791 2.621 17 12 MEAC 152. California -0.315 -1.420 -2.142 11 17 PacTen 153. UNCWilmington -0.332 -0.122 0.277 18 12 Colonial 154. Detroit -0.336 5.0E- 1.447 18 9 MWC 155. Syracuse -0.351 -1.768 -2.981 10 18 BigEast 156. Hampton -0.429 0.067 0.956 16 14 MEAC 157. ClevelandState -0.550 -0.025 0.435 15 15 MWC 158. BallState -0.557 -0.222 2.424 16 13 MAC 159. Niagara -0.611 0.032 0.986 14 14 MAAC 160. Creighton -0.646 -1.364 -1.748 12 15 MVC 161. Harvard -0.672 0.035 1.062 16 10 Ivy 162. LouisianaMonroe -0.743 0.285 -0.018 16 13 Southland 163. LaSalle -0.786 -0.981 -1.965 12 17 ATen 164. StonyBrook -0.842 0.744 2.872 18 10 Independent 165. Nevada -0.983 -1.087 0.720 18 10 BigWest 166. Hartford -1.002 -0.602 -1.087 14 14 AmEast 167. WisconsinMilwaukee -1.007 -0.760 0.923 16 12 MWC 168. LoyolaMd. -1.152 -0.849 -1.121 12 17 MAAC 169. Monmouth -1.214 -0.079 1.475 15 13 Northeast 170. Idaho -1.314 -1.335 -1.121 13 15 BigWest 171. WesternIllinois -1.346 -0.994 1.568 17 11 MidCon 172. WeberState -1.364 -1.301 -1.418 12 15 BigSky 173. Belmont -1.366 -0.557 3.263 15 7 Independent 174. NorfolkState -1.500 -0.358 1.953 19 11 MEAC 175. St.Johns -1.764 -2.713 -3.641 11 18 BigEast 176. Akron -1.841 -1.846 -2.464 11 17 MAC 177. AustinPeay -1.906 -1.087 -0.181 14 15 OVC 178. Providence -1.956 -3.083 -3.656 10 17 BigEast 179. Wagner -1.958 -1.069 1.192 15 15 Northeast 180. TexasArlington -2.192 -1.621 0.210 12 14 Southland 181. Bucknell -2.233 -1.104 -0.181 15 14 Patriot 182. MurrayState -2.350 -1.688 -1.426 14 15 OVC 183. IllinoisChicago -2.393 -1.997 -0.639 14 15 MWC 184. MiamiOhio -2.482 -2.523 -1.346 16 12 MAC 185. Manhattan -2.512 -1.705 0.141 17 12 MAAC 186. Mercer -2.650 -2.127 -1.139 13 14 TAAC 187. GeorgeMason -2.754 -2.858 -3.846 10 19 Colonial 188. Richmond -2.789 -2.888 -1.878 12 16 Colonial 189. SEMissouriState -2.856 -2.265 -0.938 10 17 OVC 190. Elon -2.895 -2.183 -0.609 12 15 BigSouth 191. FloridaAtlantic -2.923 -2.616 -1.891 15 14 TAAC 192. NewOrleans -2.955 -3.429 -2.799 11 17 SunBelt 193. IdahoState -2.960 -2.629 -1.593 14 15 BigSky 194. Indiana -2.962 -4.190 -5.046 10 18 BigTen 195. Siena -2.985 -2.562 -3.386 10 18 MAAC 196. American -3.163 -2.774 -2.285 12 16 Colonial 197. Butler -3.184 -2.994 -2.797 10 16 MWC 198. Ohio -3.325 -3.247 -2.216 11 17 MAC 199. Gonzaga -3.340 -3.258 -3.740 9 19 WCC 200. SacredHeart -3.411 -2.268 -0.728 14 14 Northeast 201. AppalachianState -3.414 -3.154 -2.222 13 15 Southern 202. WesternCarolina -3.530 -2.799 -1.528 11 17 Southern 203. EasternKentucky -3.623 -3.055 -1.402 13 15 OVC 204. CoppinState -3.874 -3.113 -1.327 13 15 MEAC 205. Cornell -3.898 -2.523 -1.653 11 15 Ivy 206. Yale -3.920 -2.581 -1.286 11 16 Ivy 207. SetonHall -4.019 -5.081 -5.881 11 16 BigEast 208. BowlingGreen -4.088 -4.093 -4.030 11 17 MAC 209. Canisius -4.108 -3.517 -3.827 10 19 MAAC 210. WakeForest -4.140 -4.943 -6.872 7 21 ACC 211. Hofstra -4.151 -3.850 -3.234 11 16 AmEast 212. SanDiegoState -4.151 -4.558 -4.826 8 19 MtnWest 213. Davidson -4.259 -4.078 -3.500 10 17 Southern 214. IUPUI -4.344 -3.915 -3.284 10 17 MidCon 215. LongIsland -4.404 -3.068 -2.140 13 16 Northeast 216. Duquesne -4.426 -4.562 -4.718 8 20 ATen 217. TroyState -4.450 -3.578 -2.285 9 17 TAAC 218. FresnoState -4.601 -4.441 -3.061 11 18 WAC 219. UMKC -4.709 -4.506 -4.519 7 19 MidCon 220. Towson -4.735 -4.242 -4.934 9 19 AmEast 221. PrairieViewA&M -4.778 -3.437 -1.264 10 15 SWAC 222. JacksonvilleState -4.826 -4.134 -3.941 9 18 TAAC 223. OralRoberts -4.834 -4.458 -3.422 10 15 MidCon 224. BethuneCookman -4.839 -3.673 -0.942 13 15 MEAC 225. Washington -4.839 -5.933 -7.352 8 22 PacTen 226. McNeeseState -4.908 -4.086 -1.487 14 14 Southland 227. Portland -5.094 -5.107 -5.466 11 20 WCC 228. AlabamaState -5.167 -4.082 -2.118 12 13 SWAC 229. Drexel -5.224 -4.856 -5.587 10 20 AmEast 230. SouthernIllinois -5.293 -5.795 -6.677 8 20 MVC 231. Temple -5.358 -5.284 -4.264 10 18 ATen 232. WrightState -5.379 -5.090 -4.523 8 20 MWC 233. GeorgiaSouthern -5.392 -5.397 -5.072 9 18 Southern 234. Minnesota -5.405 -5.959 -5.968 10 18 BigTen 235. NorthernArizona -5.423 -5.103 -3.684 10 18 BigSky 236. CalPoly-SLO -5.501 -5.379 -4.571 8 18 BigWest 237. TennesseeMartin -5.526 -5.059 -4.376 12 16 OVC 238. Lehigh -5.544 -4.352 -1.165 13 16 Patriot 239. Lamar -5.557 -4.648 -2.014 9 17 Southland 240. PortlandState -5.565 -5.323 -3.723 9 18 BigSky 241. MarylandEasternShore -5.674 -4.545 -4.421 9 19 MEAC 242. TexasSouthern -5.738 -4.670 -3.251 11 17 SWAC 243. SamHoustonState -5.851 -5.111 -3.950 12 14 Southland 244. NewMexicoState -5.890 -5.903 -5.228 8 16 BigWest 245. WashingtonState -5.920 -6.755 -8.286 4 24 PacTen 246. CentralMichigan -5.985 -5.656 -5.981 9 18 MAC 247. BostonUniversity -6.011 -5.725 -5.635 8 21 AmEast 248. MarylandBaltimoreCo -6.058 -4.666 -3.543 7 21 Northeast 249. Marshall -6.097 -5.721 -5.129 7 20 MAC 250. Houston -6.102 -6.889 -7.577 7 21 CUSA 251. Wofford -6.149 -5.678 -4.501 8 18 Southern 252. EasternWashington -6.210 -5.743 -2.992 10 16 BigSky 253. Colgate -6.283 -4.947 -2.030 13 15 Patriot 254. Quinnipiac -6.344 -5.289 -3.184 9 18 Northeast 255. Marist -6.391 -5.535 -4.467 11 17 MAAC 256. CharlestonSouthern -6.413 -5.648 -4.123 6 19 BigSouth 257. LouisianaLafayette -6.487 -6.102 -3.511 12 16 SunBelt 258. Wyoming -6.603 -6.686 -6.322 8 18 MtnWest 259. RobertMorris -6.768 -5.691 -3.701 11 16 Northeast 260. Stetson -6.798 -5.968 -5.544 8 18 TAAC 261. Baylor -6.876 -8.009 -9.012 7 20 BigTwelve 262. FairleighDickinson -6.893 -5.596 -2.944 11 17 Northeast 263. FloridaA&M -6.928 -6.024 -4.488 12 16 MEAC 264. Princeton -7.040 -6.244 -5.414 9 19 Ivy 265. Albany -7.131 -5.505 -4.432 9 15 Independent 266. Southern -7.135 -5.937 -3.515 10 15 SWAC 267. DelawareState -7.153 -5.721 -4.315 11 17 MEAC 268. Iona -7.187 -6.357 -5.972 8 20 MAAC 269. CentralConnecticut -7.205 -5.963 -5.475 8 19 Northeast 270. TennesseeState -7.412 -6.400 -5.146 8 18 OVC 271. WestVirginia -7.525 -8.710 -9.765 6 22 BigEast 272. William&Mary -7.659 -7.006 -7.049 6 21 Colonial 273. CentralFlorida -7.689 -6.885 -6.123 9 20 TAAC 274. Radford -7.819 -7.205 -5.907 11 16 BigSouth 275. SouthAlabama -7.901 -7.654 -7.248 8 21 SunBelt 276. SELouisiana -8.009 -7.118 -5.786 9 18 Southland 277. Army -8.173 -6.789 -4.214 8 18 Patriot 278. Jacksonville -8.325 -7.473 -6.162 6 21 TAAC 279. UNCAsheville -8.433 -7.728 -6.949 9 17 BigSouth 280. St.Bonaventure -8.805 -9.108 -7.866 10 19 ATen 281. NorthernIllinois -8.883 -8.580 -8.597 6 22 MAC 282. HighPoint -9.125 -8.195 -6.539 6 20 BigSouth 283. EasternIllinois -9.185 -8.493 -7.062 7 19 OVC 284. Navy -9.436 -7.884 -6.707 5 23 Patriot 285. Winthrop -9.843 -8.917 -7.122 7 17 BigSouth 286. Brown -10.172 -9.324 -6.759 9 19 Ivy 287. Bradley -10.362 -10.379 -10.327 6 20 MVC 288. TexasSanAntonio -10.786 -9.782 -9.151 5 20 Southland 289. IllinoisState -10.803 -11.244 -11.530 6 20 MVC 290. Columbia -10.890 -9.661 -9.263 7 19 Ivy 291. Northwestern -10.924 -11.806 -11.642 7 21 BigTen 292. MontanaState -11.063 -10.492 -7.814 4 21 BigSky 293. AlabamaA&M -11.140 -9.886 -7.321 6 21 SWAC 294. Fordham -11.357 -11.175 -9.393 4 24 ATen 295. NichollsState -11.746 -10.924 -10.786 4 23 Southland 296. SouthCarolinaState -12.213 -11.089 -8.995 6 22 MEAC 297. Lafayette -12.819 -11.806 -10.743 7 22 Patriot 298. MoreheadState -13.018 -12.161 -9.653 1 25 OVC 299. JacksonState -13.251 -11.694 -9.791 5 19 SWAC 300. LoyolaIll. -13.277 -12.836 -11.391 3 23 MWC 301. CalStateSacramento -13.545 -12.888 -11.746 5 21 BigSky 302. TexasElPaso -13.770 -13.018 -11.867 5 22 WAC 303. MississippiValley -13.952 -12.732 -9.713 7 20 SWAC 304. ArkansasPineBluff -14.151 -12.689 -11.028 3 19 SWAC 305. TexasPanAmerican -14.185 -12.940 -9.895 3 18 Independent 306. ArkansasLittleRock -14.626 -14.773 -12.248 5 23 SunBelt 307. NorthCarolinaA&T -15.440 -14.514 -13.407 3 25 MEAC 308. AirForce -15.561 -15.327 -15.777 3 23 MtnWest 309. RhodeIsland -16.270 -16.313 -15.474 2 25 ATen 310. CollegeofCharleston -16.953 -16.313 -15.405 3 23 Southern 311. SanJoseState -19.427 -19.064 -16.763 2 24 WAC 312. CalStateFullerton -19.514 -19.462 -19.358 2 25 BigWest 313. St.FrancisN.Y. -20.967 -19.427 -19.116 2 25 Northeast 314. ChicagoState -22.680 -22.057 -21.175 0 27 MidCon 315. Centenary -29.773 -28.925 -26.970 0 26 Independent Sun Mar 12 01:42:46 CST 2000Calculations by Curtis Schmelling, made possible by MacPerl and Java!
(C) Copyright 1997-2000, Curtis Schmelling
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