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Mean home advantage: 5.193057946069994 SD: 17.86220181238668 N1 = raw expected winning margin N2 = expected winning margin, adjusted once for opponents' strength rank team n-Rating N2 N1 W L conference 1. LouisianaTech 26.724 24.927 20.740 22 2 SunBelt 2. Connecticut 26.671 24.875 19.764 24 1 BigEast 3. Tennessee 22.171 19.502 13.266 23 3 SEC 4. Georgia 19.223 17.391 13.754 26 2 SEC 5. PennState 18.455 16.720 12.551 22 3 BigTen 6. Auburn 18.316 16.179 12.455 19 5 SEC 7. NotreDame 17.409 16.109 14.435 23 2 BigEast 8. Duke 16.894 15.717 12.786 21 4 ACC 9. UCSantaBarbara 16.833 16.013 13.658 23 3 BigWest 10. MississippiState 16.057 14.164 9.664 19 6 SEC 11. OldDominion 15.978 15.106 13.571 20 4 Colonial 12. TexasTech 14.967 13.728 10.658 21 3 BigTwelve 13. Vanderbilt 14.923 12.586 8.294 18 9 SEC 14. StephenF.Austin 14.705 15.298 15.629 22 2 Southland 15. BostonCollege 14.286 12.934 10.423 21 6 BigEast 16. IowaState 13.841 12.673 11.103 19 5 BigTwelve 17. Kent 13.754 13.248 11.652 20 5 MAC 18. Xavier 13.440 13.205 11.835 22 4 ATen 19. St.Josephs 13.283 12.420 12.324 22 4 ATen 20. LSU 13.100 11.652 8.373 20 5 SEC 21. Oklahoma 12.594 11.835 8.853 20 6 BigTwelve 22. Stanford 12.088 10.937 8.159 16 6 PacTen 23. GeorgeWashington 11.801 11.068 8.879 21 4 ATen 24. NorthCarolinaState 11.687 10.283 7.448 20 6 ACC 25. Tulane 11.338 10.396 10.170 23 3 CUSA 26. Utah 11.277 10.780 9.201 17 6 MtnWest 27. Purdue 11.016 9.672 6.716 17 7 BigTen 28. Arizona 10.963 10.030 8.940 20 5 PacTen 29. Rutgers 10.911 9.498 5.887 17 6 BigEast 30. Evansville 10.798 10.580 10.213 19 5 MVC 31. Chattanooga 10.667 10.815 12.019 22 2 Southern 32. Illinois 10.475 9.228 6.533 19 9 BigTen 33. SWMissouriState 10.344 9.847 8.220 20 5 MVC 34. Texas 10.327 8.604 6.624 17 9 BigTwelve 35. Kansas 10.309 9.210 6.864 19 6 BigTwelve 36. Kentucky 10.292 8.307 3.216 12 12 SEC 37. Virginia 9.978 8.857 5.604 21 6 ACC 38. Grambling 9.899 10.684 12.821 20 3 SWAC 39. Michigan 9.838 8.521 5.813 19 6 BigTen 40. Oregon 9.821 8.726 7.727 19 6 PacTen 41. SMU 9.812 9.341 7.950 17 6 WAC 42. Marquette 9.690 8.822 7.034 22 4 CUSA 43. Florida 9.681 7.850 3.513 15 10 SEC 44. Vermont 9.289 9.106 8.983 20 4 AmEast 45. UCLA 9.236 7.684 4.365 15 7 PacTen 46. VirginiaTech 9.140 8.635 5.900 16 9 ATen 47. BYU 8.783 8.451 7.326 16 7 MtnWest 48. ColoradoState 8.621 8.002 7.038 18 5 MtnWest 49. St.Marys 8.604 8.151 7.745 18 7 WCC 50. TennesseeTech 8.403 8.264 8.521 20 7 OVC 51. Arkansas 8.390 6.258 1.936 14 11 SEC 52. Drake 8.024 7.217 5.892 16 6 MVC 53. SantaClara 8.015 7.802 7.169 18 7 WCC 54. Missouri 7.915 6.655 5.255 16 8 BigTwelve 55. WichitaState 7.789 7.466 7.195 18 7 MVC 56. Alabama 7.640 5.918 2.228 15 10 SEC 57. MichiganState 7.209 6.288 5.769 17 8 BigTen 58. WisconsinGreenBay 7.095 6.977 6.397 15 7 MWC 59. Clemson 6.895 5.878 3.526 16 9 ACC 60. Liberty 6.838 6.690 7.030 17 7 BigSouth 61. ArkansasState 6.746 6.389 4.442 14 9 SunBelt 62. WesternKentucky 6.637 5.791 3.872 17 8 SunBelt 63. Delaware 6.541 6.576 7.108 17 7 AmEast 64. Dartmouth 6.411 6.685 6.297 16 6 Ivy 65. NorthwesternState 6.332 6.650 8.796 20 4 Southland 66. Wisconsin 5.948 4.941 2.970 15 10 BigTen 67. Rice 5.796 5.508 5.826 15 8 WAC 68. GeorgiaState 5.612 6.136 7.514 19 4 TAAC 69. NewMexico 5.517 4.771 4.666 16 7 MtnWest 70. St.FrancisPa. 5.508 6.009 6.594 18 6 Northeast 71. KansasState 5.460 4.470 0.785 12 14 BigTwelve 72. JamesMadison 5.246 5.586 4.819 16 8 Colonial 73. Dayton 5.211 4.884 4.186 14 11 ATen 74. Montana 5.168 5.495 6.772 16 7 BigSky 75. SouthCarolina 5.146 3.622 0.898 13 13 SEC 76. HolyCross 4.971 5.046 6.886 19 6 Patriot 77. Nebraska 4.945 3.787 1.424 13 11 BigTwelve 78. Georgetown 4.749 3.962 2.832 14 10 BigEast 79. Pittsburgh 4.732 3.920 2.283 14 10 BigEast 80. FloridaState 4.640 3.702 2.034 11 13 ACC 81. YoungstownState 4.544 4.793 4.937 17 8 MidCon 82. UAB 4.514 4.136 2.460 14 11 CUSA 83. FloridaInternational 4.479 4.040 2.034 12 12 SunBelt 84. Louisville 4.418 3.988 2.675 14 10 CUSA 85. Fairfield 4.363 4.527 6.393 22 6 MAAC 86. Villanova 4.317 3.620 1.005 14 10 BigEast 87. Pacific 4.295 4.566 5.032 14 9 BigWest 88. Northeastern 4.217 4.114 4.025 14 11 AmEast 89. WesternMichigan 4.003 3.554 3.395 16 9 MAC 90. Furman 3.990 4.132 5.176 15 10 Southern 91. Pepperdine 3.964 3.458 3.698 17 8 WCC 92. ArizonaState 3.929 2.917 2.987 12 10 PacTen 93. DePaul 3.879 3.292 3.214 16 10 CUSA 94. Maine 3.814 3.460 2.978 16 8 AmEast 95. NorthCarolina 3.798 2.959 1.075 14 11 ACC 96. OhioState 3.779 3.061 1.356 12 12 BigTen 97. Hawaii 3.578 3.378 1.808 17 7 WAC 98. Mississippi 3.465 2.494 0.768 11 14 SEC 99. TCU 3.197 2.732 3.153 15 12 WAC 100. UNLV 3.116 3.214 2.961 13 11 MtnWest 101. Campbell 3.059 3.484 4.291 14 8 TAAC 102. Howard 2.872 3.354 5.360 15 9 MEAC 103. NorthernIowa 2.795 2.327 2.460 12 9 MVC 104. OklahomaState 2.750 1.718 0.658 12 12 BigTwelve 105. AlcornState 2.708 3.434 6.873 16 8 SWAC 106. UNCGreensboro 2.586 2.553 2.808 15 10 Southern 107. LoyolaMarymount 2.512 2.316 2.211 13 12 WCC 108. Iowa 2.361 1.112 -1.521 9 15 BigTen 109. Toledo 2.285 2.137 1.361 11 12 MAC 110. USC 2.255 1.077 -1.135 11 11 PacTen 111. TexasA&M 2.146 1.491 0.593 10 12 BigTwelve 112. Pennsylvania 2.122 2.562 5.957 16 7 Ivy 113. Memphis 2.074 1.197 -0.217 15 10 CUSA 114. GeorgiaTech 2.063 1.195 -0.544 12 12 ACC 115. Maryland 2.026 1.609 0.220 13 12 ACC 116. Cincinnati 1.890 1.326 -0.679 14 11 CUSA 117. UCIrvine 1.884 2.102 3.604 12 11 BigWest 118. Denver 1.740 1.317 1.890 15 7 SunBelt 119. Rider 1.736 2.268 3.838 14 11 MAAC 120. BoiseState 1.718 1.912 2.422 13 11 BigWest 121. SouthernMississippi 1.690 1.193 0.338 15 11 CUSA 122. Buffalo 1.683 1.801 3.055 17 8 MAC 123. St.Peters 1.681 2.117 3.312 18 7 MAAC 124. Valparaiso 1.581 1.788 1.834 14 11 MidCon 125. CalStateNorthridge 1.574 1.904 2.939 13 8 BigSky 126. Mt.St.Marys 1.570 2.194 3.199 17 7 Northeast 127. EastCarolina 1.476 1.450 1.387 12 12 Colonial 128. Massachusetts 1.319 0.872 -0.256 11 14 ATen 129. NorthTexas 1.313 1.116 1.707 13 9 BigWest 130. Oakland 1.082 1.391 2.529 12 10 MidCon 131. OregonState 1.014 0.364 0.033 12 13 PacTen 132. SaintLouis 0.983 0.693 0.238 11 14 CUSA 133. NewHampshire 0.892 0.927 0.530 12 12 AmEast 134. MiamiFla. 0.885 0.044 -1.002 11 13 BigEast 135. VirginiaCommonwealth 0.778 0.576 1.012 13 12 Colonial 136. Samford 0.757 1.171 2.634 15 8 TAAC 137. LongBeachState 0.691 0.744 -0.132 14 9 BigWest 138. EastTennesseeState 0.552 0.658 0.510 12 11 Southern 139. EasternMichigan 0.427 0.757 1.097 11 13 MAC 140. BallState 0.419 0.750 3.103 14 11 MAC 141. Harvard 0.388 0.894 2.224 14 7 Ivy 142. Syracuse 0.375 -0.581 -2.249 10 14 BigEast 143. IndianaState 0.362 0.146 -0.077 7 15 MVC 144. Belmont 0.325 0.848 5.002 14 6 Independent 145. UNCWilmington 0.279 0.480 0.523 13 10 Colonial 146. SouthernUtah 0.205 0.502 -0.045 9 13 MidCon 147. UNCCharlotte 0.068 -0.564 -1.002 8 17 CUSA 148. Detroit 0.052 0.382 2.156 16 7 MWC 149. Tulsa -0.010 -0.228 -0.596 11 13 WAC 150. SanFrancisco -0.069 -0.442 -1.379 9 15 WCC 151. SWTexasState -0.088 0.478 3.231 12 10 Southland 152. Nevada -0.309 -0.296 1.860 16 7 BigWest 153. Akron -0.341 -0.391 -0.915 11 14 MAC 154. California -0.352 -1.159 -2.548 7 15 PacTen 155. Colorado -0.396 -1.458 -4.896 8 16 BigTwelve 156. StonyBrook -0.424 0.552 2.627 16 10 Independent 157. Niagara -0.431 0.078 0.735 12 13 MAAC 158. MiddleTennessee -0.466 -0.293 1.225 13 10 OVC 159. Hartford -0.599 -0.400 -0.784 13 11 AmEast 160. Monmouth -0.629 0.177 2.172 14 10 Northeast 161. Idaho -0.638 -0.498 0.382 13 11 BigWest 162. ClevelandState -0.767 -0.354 0.307 12 12 MWC 163. SanDiego -0.791 -0.642 -0.202 13 11 WCC 164. WisconsinMilwaukee -0.943 -0.594 0.800 13 10 MWC 165. WesternIllinois -1.019 -0.723 2.196 15 9 MidCon 166. TexasArlington -1.100 -0.660 2.085 11 10 Southland 167. Creighton -1.126 -1.671 -2.291 9 13 MVC 168. Hampton -1.135 -0.695 0.643 11 12 MEAC 169. LoyolaMd. -1.172 -0.989 -1.113 10 15 MAAC 170. St.Johns -1.248 -1.650 -2.973 9 15 BigEast 171. LouisianaMonroe -1.342 -0.363 0.257 13 11 Southland 172. Manhattan -1.347 -0.847 1.108 15 10 MAAC 173. NorfolkState -1.366 -0.383 2.891 17 6 MEAC 174. SouthFlorida -1.368 -1.582 -2.112 11 15 CUSA 175. CoastalCarolina -1.392 -1.022 0.964 13 9 BigSouth 176. MurrayState -1.423 -0.812 5.0E- 13 12 OVC 177. Providence -1.458 -1.990 -2.483 9 14 BigEast 178. MiamiOhio -1.549 -1.512 -0.723 13 11 MAC 179. Bucknell -1.606 -0.705 -0.036 13 11 Patriot 180. LaSalle -1.752 -1.889 -3.182 10 15 ATen 181. MorganState -1.770 -0.845 1.631 13 10 MEAC 182. Elon -1.809 -1.314 0.839 11 13 BigSouth 183. Cornell -1.831 -0.814 0.462 11 11 Ivy 184. Wagner -1.998 -1.473 1.426 11 13 Northeast 185. Richmond -2.360 -2.570 -1.418 10 13 Colonial 186. American -2.509 -2.199 -1.669 11 12 Colonial 187. WeberState -2.522 -2.387 -2.596 8 13 BigSky 188. NewOrleans -2.528 -2.820 -2.092 10 13 SunBelt 189. Hofstra -2.633 -2.483 -2.465 11 13 AmEast 190. IdahoState -2.642 -2.254 -1.368 12 13 BigSky 191. Mercer -2.696 -2.217 -1.122 10 11 TAAC 192. AustinPeay -2.766 -2.038 -0.714 11 14 OVC 193. Gonzaga -2.816 -2.679 -2.757 9 16 WCC 194. SacredHeart -2.838 -2.049 -0.139 12 12 Northeast 195. Butler -2.897 -2.578 -2.038 10 12 MWC 196. SEMissouriState -2.958 -2.376 -1.253 9 15 OVC 197. OralRoberts -2.975 -2.613 -1.403 10 12 MidCon 198. Ohio -3.023 -2.888 -1.977 10 15 MAC 199. GeorgeMason -3.113 -3.244 -4.375 9 14 Colonial 200. TroyState -3.191 -2.332 -1.203 8 13 TAAC 201. Siena -3.200 -2.838 -3.468 9 15 MAAC 202. Yale -3.274 -2.223 -0.817 9 14 Ivy 203. Indiana -3.276 -4.048 -4.892 9 16 BigTen 204. IllinoisChicago -3.616 -3.213 -1.508 10 14 MWC 205. IUPUI -3.645 -3.435 -2.563 10 14 MidCon 206. Duquesne -3.680 -3.738 -3.773 8 17 ATen 207. WesternCarolina -3.690 -3.028 -1.964 10 15 Southern 208. SetonHall -3.756 -4.251 -5.856 10 14 BigEast 209. Temple -3.767 -3.673 -3.021 10 16 ATen 210. FresnoState -3.815 -3.664 -2.485 10 14 WAC 211. EasternKentucky -3.878 -3.363 -1.870 11 14 OVC 212. UMKC -3.939 -3.769 -3.662 7 16 MidCon 213. CoppinState -3.989 -3.407 -1.357 12 13 MEAC 214. FloridaAtlantic -4.018 -3.732 -3.006 13 11 TAAC 215. AppalachianState -4.155 -3.928 -3.324 11 14 Southern 216. BethuneCookman -4.185 -3.237 -0.522 12 11 MEAC 217. WakeForest -4.192 -4.670 -6.519 7 18 ACC 218. SouthernIllinois -4.242 -4.456 -5.686 7 17 MVC 219. Canisius -4.275 -3.667 -4.264 8 17 MAAC 220. Towson -4.294 -3.882 -4.757 7 16 AmEast 221. Lamar -4.362 -3.616 -1.911 8 14 Southland 222. SanDiegoState -4.366 -4.617 -5.058 7 16 MtnWest 223. JacksonvilleState -4.382 -3.658 -3.688 6 15 TAAC 224. Washington -4.765 -5.572 -7.766 7 18 PacTen 225. Minnesota -4.840 -5.123 -4.970 9 16 BigTen 226. Drexel -5.149 -4.861 -5.607 8 18 AmEast 227. Davidson -5.154 -4.905 -4.386 8 15 Southern 228. Lehigh -5.263 -4.465 -1.174 12 14 Patriot 229. Wofford -5.293 -4.805 -3.424 7 15 Southern 230. Portland -5.345 -5.171 -5.097 10 17 WCC 231. BowlingGreen -5.385 -5.210 -5.223 8 16 MAC 232. MarylandBaltimoreCo -5.428 -4.451 -3.145 7 18 Northeast 233. BostonUniversity -5.498 -5.289 -5.127 7 17 AmEast 234. NewMexicoState -5.611 -5.481 -5.315 7 14 BigWest 235. Marshall -5.625 -5.210 -4.874 7 18 MAC 236. Baylor -5.686 -6.165 -7.639 6 17 BigTwelve 237. TennesseeMartin -5.908 -5.516 -4.133 11 14 OVC 238. NorthernArizona -5.912 -5.424 -4.373 9 14 BigSky 239. LongIsland -5.921 -4.866 -3.152 9 15 Northeast 240. GeorgiaSouthern -5.952 -5.891 -5.132 9 15 Southern 241. MarylandEasternShore -6.000 -5.110 -4.966 7 18 MEAC 242. WashingtonState -6.178 -6.767 -8.568 4 19 PacTen 243. CentralMichigan -6.244 -6.008 -5.956 9 15 MAC 244. DelawareState -6.261 -5.145 -3.063 10 14 MEAC 245. AlabamaState -6.292 -5.363 -2.766 9 11 SWAC 246. LouisianaLafayette -6.318 -6.065 -2.493 11 12 SunBelt 247. Iona -6.396 -5.795 -5.415 8 18 MAAC 248. Wyoming -6.401 -6.344 -6.488 6 15 MtnWest 249. Marist -6.466 -5.803 -4.857 10 15 MAAC 250. McNeeseState -6.641 -5.917 -3.671 10 12 Southland 251. PrairieViewA&M -6.702 -5.245 -2.576 6 11 SWAC 252. SamHoustonState -6.745 -6.139 -5.363 9 12 Southland 253. Colgate -6.754 -5.943 -2.814 11 13 Patriot 254. PortlandState -6.793 -6.405 -4.600 7 16 BigSky 255. RobertMorris -6.824 -6.034 -4.547 9 14 Northeast 256. CalPoly-SLO -6.841 -6.449 -6.026 5 16 BigWest 257. FairleighDickinson -6.894 -5.939 -3.416 9 15 Northeast 258. Army -6.942 -6.000 -2.829 8 15 Patriot 259. Radford -6.946 -6.457 -5.079 10 14 BigSouth 260. CentralConnecticut -7.051 -6.157 -5.860 7 17 Northeast 261. Quinnipiac -7.085 -6.379 -3.837 8 16 Northeast 262. William&Mary -7.103 -6.466 -7.282 5 17 Colonial 263. CharlestonSouthern -7.234 -6.462 -5.097 5 16 BigSouth 264. Albany -7.247 -6.061 -5.306 7 15 Independent 265. WestVirginia -7.343 -7.953 -8.590 6 18 BigEast 266. Houston -7.347 -7.740 -8.703 6 19 CUSA 267. TexasSouthern -7.460 -6.396 -4.853 8 14 SWAC 268. TennesseeState -7.766 -6.867 -5.629 8 17 OVC 269. Stetson -8.027 -7.308 -6.392 7 14 TAAC 270. Jacksonville -8.193 -7.426 -5.481 6 16 TAAC 271. CentralFlorida -8.350 -7.648 -6.959 6 18 TAAC 272. WrightState -8.437 -7.949 -6.645 6 16 MWC 273. Winthrop -8.477 -7.740 -5.777 7 14 BigSouth 274. UNCAsheville -8.520 -7.849 -7.404 7 16 BigSouth 275. FloridaA&M -8.773 -7.744 -6.492 7 15 MEAC 276. EasternWashington -8.865 -8.368 -5.045 7 14 BigSky 277. Southern -8.921 -7.779 -4.140 8 12 SWAC 278. SELouisiana -8.965 -8.049 -6.357 7 14 Southland 279. Bradley -9.113 -9.009 -8.939 6 16 MVC 280. SouthAlabama -9.122 -8.594 -8.782 5 18 SunBelt 281. Princeton -9.558 -8.817 -7.522 6 17 Ivy 282. HighPoint -9.637 -8.839 -6.309 6 16 BigSouth 283. NorthernIllinois -9.898 -9.480 -9.227 5 20 MAC 284. Navy -10.169 -8.917 -7.465 4 20 Patriot 285. Fordham -10.299 -10.108 -8.333 4 21 ATen 286. EasternIllinois -10.517 -9.820 -8.040 6 17 OVC 287. IllinoisState -10.701 -10.919 -11.372 6 17 MVC 288. St.Bonaventure -10.736 -11.006 -9.009 8 17 ATen 289. TexasSanAntonio -10.866 -10.012 -9.514 5 18 Southland 290. NichollsState -11.294 -10.430 -10.858 3 20 Southland 291. MontanaState -11.520 -10.884 -8.276 3 19 BigSky 292. Brown -11.747 -11.015 -8.359 6 18 Ivy 293. AlabamaA&M -11.904 -10.770 -8.276 4 18 SWAC 294. Northwestern -12.114 -12.480 -12.340 6 19 BigTen 295. SouthCarolinaState -12.253 -11.329 -9.881 5 19 MEAC 296. CalStateSacramento -12.332 -11.834 -9.933 6 16 BigSky 297. TexasElPaso -12.628 -11.773 -11.137 5 18 WAC 298. Columbia -13.021 -11.861 -11.329 5 17 Ivy 299. TexasPanAmerican -13.404 -12.506 -9.602 3 17 Independent 300. MoreheadState -13.483 -12.776 -9.907 1 23 OVC 301. ArkansasLittleRock -13.518 -13.518 -12.026 4 18 SunBelt 302. JacksonState -13.683 -12.192 -10.509 4 16 SWAC 303. Lafayette -14.163 -13.335 -11.974 5 20 Patriot 304. LoyolaIll. -14.364 -13.745 -11.416 3 19 MWC 305. AirForce -14.756 -14.399 -14.495 3 18 MtnWest 306. MississippiValley -14.791 -13.745 -9.645 5 17 SWAC 307. ArkansasPineBluff -15.123 -13.553 -12.899 2 15 SWAC 308. CollegeofCharleston -15.977 -15.375 -14.512 3 20 Southern 309. RhodeIsland -16.309 -16.099 -15.201 2 23 ATen 310. NorthCarolinaA&T -16.745 -15.899 -15.027 2 22 MEAC 311. CalStateFullerton -18.855 -18.698 -18.350 2 21 BigWest 312. SanJoseState -19.658 -19.239 -17.399 1 21 WAC 313. St.FrancisN.Y. -20.111 -18.908 -18.629 2 22 Northeast 314. ChicagoState -21.228 -20.670 -19.867 1 24 MidCon 315. Centenary -29.479 -28.572 -27.891 0 23 Independent Sun Feb 20 23:37:23 CST 2000Calculations by Curtis Schmelling, made possible by MacPerl and Java!
(C) Copyright 1997-2000, Curtis Schmelling
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