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Mean home advantage: 5.196736743018513 SD: 17.99321461604498 N1 = raw expected winning margin N2 = expected winning margin, adjusted once for opponents' strength rank team n-Rating N2 N1 W L conference 1. Connecticut 26.920 25.022 19.329 22 1 BigEast 2. LouisianaTech 26.305 24.284 20.119 19 2 SunBelt 3. Tennessee 22.140 19.417 13.100 21 3 SEC 4. Auburn 19.803 17.589 13.284 17 5 SEC 5. Georgia 19.750 18.081 14.233 24 2 SEC 6. PennState 17.949 16.078 11.474 20 3 BigTen 7. MississippiState 17.229 15.428 10.921 18 5 SEC 8. NotreDame 17.220 15.964 14.417 21 2 BigEast 9. Duke 17.141 15.779 12.906 19 4 ACC 10. UCSantaBarbara 16.746 15.779 13.398 21 3 BigWest 11. TexasTech 16.412 15.015 11.878 19 3 BigTwelve 12. OldDominion 15.718 14.804 13.152 18 4 Colonial 13. Vanderbilt 15.612 13.310 8.751 17 8 SEC 14. LSU 14.742 13.266 10.025 19 4 SEC 15. IowaState 14.628 13.223 11.843 18 4 BigTwelve 16. StephenF.Austin 14.110 14.857 15.208 21 2 Southland 17. BostonCollege 13.969 12.546 9.902 19 6 BigEast 18. Oklahoma 13.917 12.941 10.235 20 4 BigTwelve 19. Xavier 13.477 13.143 12.045 21 3 ATen 20. St.Josephs 13.020 12.063 11.544 19 4 ATen 21. GeorgeWashington 13.003 12.124 10.306 20 3 ATen 22. Kent 12.897 12.282 10.648 18 5 MAC 23. Arizona 12.845 11.747 10.596 20 3 PacTen 24. NorthCarolinaState 12.344 10.701 8.342 20 4 ACC 25. Purdue 12.203 10.701 7.666 17 6 BigTen 26. Kentucky 11.720 9.541 4.303 12 10 SEC 27. Stanford 11.588 10.402 7.516 15 6 PacTen 28. Rutgers 11.404 9.945 6.444 16 5 BigEast 29. Tulane 11.132 10.060 9.787 21 3 CUSA 30. SWMissouriState 11.114 10.508 8.232 18 5 MVC 31. Utah 10.991 10.411 8.966 16 5 MtnWest 32. Oregon 10.929 9.620 7.709 17 6 PacTen 33. Illinois 10.771 9.383 6.660 18 9 BigTen 34. Texas 10.701 9.014 6.664 16 8 BigTwelve 35. Evansville 10.446 10.148 9.858 17 5 MVC 36. SMU 10.191 9.612 7.547 15 6 WAC 37. Michigan 10.183 8.636 6.001 17 6 BigTen 38. Kansas 10.086 8.922 6.387 17 6 BigTwelve 39. Grambling 10.025 10.956 12.906 19 3 SWAC 40. Missouri 10.007 8.522 7.046 16 6 BigTwelve 41. Chattanooga 9.945 10.104 11.606 20 2 Southern 42. Virginia 9.849 8.614 5.381 19 6 ACC 43. Marquette 9.629 8.729 6.633 20 4 CUSA 44. Florida 9.576 7.503 3.191 14 9 SEC 45. BYU 9.515 9.164 8.026 15 6 MtnWest 46. VirginiaTech 9.515 8.825 5.276 14 9 ATen 47. Arkansas 9.067 6.932 2.952 14 9 SEC 48. UCLA 9.058 7.217 4.193 13 7 PacTen 49. Vermont 9.005 8.852 8.825 18 4 AmEast 50. Drake 8.918 7.951 6.638 15 5 MVC 51. St.Marys 8.790 8.294 7.481 16 7 WCC 52. ColoradoState 8.746 7.999 7.745 16 5 MtnWest 53. ArkansasState 8.478 8.057 7.490 14 6 SunBelt 54. Alabama 8.294 6.673 2.552 14 9 SEC 55. SantaClara 8.193 7.999 6.985 16 7 WCC 56. TennesseeTech 8.057 8.004 8.021 18 7 OVC 57. Clemson 7.771 6.725 4.230 16 8 ACC 58. MichiganState 7.253 6.203 6.062 16 7 BigTen 59. NorthwesternState 7.244 7.499 9.471 18 3 Southland 60. WichitaState 7.244 6.813 6.181 16 7 MVC 61. WesternKentucky 7.178 6.207 3.596 15 8 SunBelt 62. WisconsinGreenBay 7.143 6.998 6.444 14 7 MWC 63. Delaware 6.563 6.585 6.971 16 7 AmEast 64. NewMexico 6.308 5.517 5.091 15 6 MtnWest 65. Montana 6.163 6.532 7.991 16 5 BigSky 66. KansasState 6.093 5.025 0.848 11 13 BigTwelve 67. Liberty 6.058 5.803 6.378 16 7 BigSouth 68. Wisconsin 5.913 4.815 2.814 14 9 BigTen 69. UAB 5.658 5.131 3.804 14 9 CUSA 70. Georgetown 5.632 4.845 3.822 13 9 BigEast 71. St.FrancisPa. 5.478 5.992 6.444 15 6 Northeast 72. SouthCarolina 5.452 3.943 0.960 12 12 SEC 73. Villanova 5.258 4.560 2.093 14 8 BigEast 74. Dayton 5.131 4.762 3.549 12 11 ATen 75. Rice 5.021 4.766 4.740 13 8 WAC 76. Dartmouth 5.012 5.390 5.008 14 6 Ivy 77. JamesMadison 4.986 5.302 4.138 14 8 Colonial 78. HolyCross 4.841 4.973 6.629 18 6 Patriot 79. Pittsburgh 4.828 4.008 2.407 13 9 BigEast 80. Furman 4.740 4.894 6.014 15 9 Southern 81. Nebraska 4.656 3.589 0.857 12 10 BigTwelve 82. FloridaState 4.643 3.607 1.792 10 13 ACC 83. Hawaii 4.608 4.283 2.910 17 5 WAC 84. Pacific 4.516 4.753 5.785 13 8 BigWest 85. ArizonaState 4.487 3.251 3.532 12 8 PacTen 86. NorthCarolina 4.395 3.534 1.089 13 11 ACC 87. FloridaInternational 4.358 3.888 1.230 10 12 SunBelt 88. OhioState 4.305 3.578 1.792 12 10 BigTen 89. GeorgiaState 4.303 4.946 6.308 17 4 TAAC 90. Louisville 4.211 3.846 1.786 12 10 CUSA 91. Mississippi 4.114 3.200 1.586 11 12 SEC 92. Northeastern 3.929 3.890 4.123 13 10 AmEast 93. YoungstownState 3.883 4.169 4.320 16 7 MidCon 94. DePaul 3.879 3.172 3.130 14 10 CUSA 95. Pepperdine 3.683 3.123 3.600 15 8 WCC 96. Memphis 3.639 2.561 1.197 15 8 CUSA 97. TCU 3.413 2.939 2.697 13 12 WAC 98. Fairfield 3.363 3.596 5.807 20 6 MAAC 99. OklahomaState 3.317 2.058 0.593 11 11 BigTwelve 100. Maine 3.249 2.805 1.999 14 8 AmEast 101. WesternMichigan 3.024 2.526 2.168 14 9 MAC 102. LoyolaMarymount 2.996 2.713 2.836 13 10 WCC 103. Campbell 2.967 3.444 4.441 13 7 TAAC 104. UNCGreensboro 2.952 2.910 3.650 14 9 Southern 105. Maryland 2.699 2.291 0.564 13 11 ACC 106. NorthernIowa 2.623 2.117 1.775 11 9 MVC 107. GeorgiaTech 2.524 1.548 -0.221 12 11 ACC 108. Buffalo 2.350 2.511 3.795 17 7 MAC 109. TexasA&M 2.319 1.584 0.802 9 11 BigTwelve 110. Rider 2.229 2.877 4.507 13 9 MAAC 111. UNLV 2.065 2.284 1.900 11 11 MtnWest 112. AlcornState 2.036 2.917 6.326 14 8 SWAC 113. EastCarolina 1.922 1.935 2.201 12 10 Colonial 114. Valparaiso 1.876 2.181 2.546 13 10 MidCon 115. St.Peters 1.863 2.451 3.800 17 6 MAAC 116. Pennsylvania 1.849 2.462 5.803 15 6 Ivy 117. Denver 1.803 1.399 1.891 15 7 SunBelt 118. BoiseState 1.762 1.988 2.399 11 11 BigWest 119. USC 1.755 0.402 -1.618 9 11 PacTen 120. Belmont 1.682 2.313 5.320 13 5 Independent 121. Iowa 1.650 0.347 -2.718 7 15 BigTen 122. Toledo 1.636 1.469 0.534 10 12 MAC 123. Howard 1.630 2.223 4.309 13 9 MEAC 124. Cincinnati 1.619 0.999 -1.686 12 11 CUSA 125. Oakland 1.606 2.014 2.561 11 9 MidCon 126. UCIrvine 1.458 1.680 2.853 11 11 BigWest 127. Mt.St.Marys 1.335 2.056 3.077 15 6 Northeast 128. SaintLouis 1.274 0.870 1.030 11 12 CUSA 129. Massachusetts 1.114 0.624 0.105 10 13 ATen 130. NorthTexas 1.061 0.879 0.852 12 9 BigWest 131. VirginiaCommonwealth 1.028 0.810 1.153 12 11 Colonial 132. OregonState 1.013 0.288 -0.801 10 13 PacTen 133. Samford 0.958 1.408 3.442 14 7 TAAC 134. Detroit 0.951 1.318 2.730 15 6 MWC 135. Harvard 0.863 1.498 2.761 13 6 Ivy 136. NewHampshire 0.738 0.865 0.211 10 12 AmEast 137. SouthernMississippi 0.725 0.255 -0.924 13 11 CUSA 138. LongBeachState 0.639 0.652 -0.082 13 8 BigWest 139. Syracuse 0.633 -0.148 -1.216 10 11 BigEast 140. EasternMichigan 0.633 0.975 1.511 11 12 MAC 141. IndianaState 0.591 0.261 0.685 7 13 MVC 142. MiamiFla. 0.545 -0.451 -1.780 10 12 BigEast 143. UNCWilmington 0.512 0.817 0.720 13 9 Colonial 144. California 0.477 -0.368 -1.695 7 14 PacTen 145. BallState 0.336 0.659 3.481 13 10 MAC 146. UNCCharlotte 0.312 -0.454 -0.467 8 15 CUSA 147. EastTennesseeState 0.266 0.378 -0.414 10 11 Southern 148. SanFrancisco 0.264 -0.164 -0.665 9 13 WCC 149. CalStateNorthridge 0.193 0.573 1.784 11 8 BigSky 150. Niagara 0.088 0.685 1.731 12 10 MAAC 151. Idaho -0.012 0.094 0.819 12 10 BigWest 152. MiamiOhio -0.137 -0.175 0.892 13 8 MAC 153. SouthFlorida -0.199 -0.335 -0.987 11 13 CUSA 154. Colorado -0.214 -1.168 -4.739 7 15 BigTwelve 155. SouthernUtah -0.223 0.090 -0.544 8 13 MidCon 156. Creighton -0.526 -1.108 -1.602 9 11 MVC 157. SanDiego -0.528 -0.357 -0.208 12 10 WCC 158. Monmouth -0.577 0.411 1.775 12 9 Northeast 159. Hartford -0.700 -0.388 -0.884 12 10 AmEast 160. Tulsa -0.711 -0.946 -1.873 9 13 WAC 161. ClevelandState -0.792 -0.289 0.013 11 11 MWC 162. Akron -0.814 -0.939 -1.745 9 14 MAC 163. St.Johns -0.845 -1.088 -2.408 8 14 BigEast 164. WisconsinMilwaukee -0.943 -0.629 1.089 13 9 MWC 165. MurrayState -0.983 -0.320 0.303 12 11 OVC 166. StonyBrook -0.994 -0.043 2.453 15 9 Independent 167. Nevada -1.183 -1.084 1.329 15 6 BigWest 168. Cornell -1.187 0.048 1.599 11 9 Ivy 169. MorganState -1.189 -0.100 2.629 13 8 MEAC 170. Providence -1.339 -1.791 -2.567 9 13 BigEast 171. Bucknell -1.343 -0.300 0.294 13 9 Patriot 172. LoyolaMd. -1.354 -1.130 -1.420 9 14 MAAC 173. SWTexasState -1.365 -0.671 2.732 10 10 Southland 174. Wagner -1.486 -0.979 2.104 11 11 Northeast 175. Manhattan -1.504 -0.926 1.219 13 9 MAAC 176. Hampton -1.712 -1.200 0.564 10 11 MEAC 177. CoastalCarolina -1.756 -1.398 0.613 12 8 BigSouth 178. LaSalle -1.793 -1.989 -3.537 9 14 ATen 179. TexasArlington -1.870 -1.222 1.856 10 9 Southland 180. WesternIllinois -1.982 -1.660 1.483 13 9 MidCon 181. Hofstra -2.077 -1.884 -1.837 11 11 AmEast 182. AustinPeay -2.116 -1.308 0.615 11 12 OVC 183. American -2.204 -1.826 -1.102 11 10 Colonial 184. LouisianaMonroe -2.226 -1.062 -0.271 12 10 Southland 185. Indiana -2.310 -3.030 -3.922 9 14 BigTen 186. MiddleTennessee -2.369 -2.154 -0.528 11 10 OVC 187. NorfolkState -2.415 -1.288 2.262 16 6 MEAC 188. Ohio -2.433 -2.356 -1.286 10 13 MAC 189. Elon -2.435 -1.853 0.444 10 12 BigSouth 190. WeberState -2.661 -2.496 -2.602 8 13 BigSky 191. Butler -2.696 -2.277 -2.156 10 11 MWC 192. NewOrleans -2.727 -3.061 -2.039 10 11 SunBelt 193. Gonzaga -2.786 -2.571 -2.551 9 14 WCC 194. Mercer -3.004 -2.595 -1.275 9 11 TAAC 195. SacredHeart -3.083 -2.191 0.178 11 11 Northeast 196. Richmond -3.125 -3.368 -2.119 8 13 Colonial 197. OralRoberts -3.129 -2.780 -1.501 9 11 MidCon 198. WesternCarolina -3.173 -2.457 -1.141 10 13 Southern 199. Yale -3.188 -1.906 0.171 9 12 Ivy 200. IdahoState -3.252 -2.808 -2.136 10 13 BigSky 201. EasternKentucky -3.428 -2.892 -1.150 11 12 OVC 202. GeorgeMason -3.450 -3.590 -4.814 8 14 Colonial 203. TroyState -3.450 -2.571 -1.170 8 12 TAAC 204. SetonHall -3.476 -3.937 -5.986 8 13 BigEast 205. IUPUI -3.487 -3.245 -1.925 10 12 MidCon 206. JacksonvilleState -3.535 -2.709 -2.340 6 13 TAAC 207. FresnoState -3.612 -3.456 -1.802 10 12 WAC 208. Duquesne -3.652 -3.755 -3.331 8 15 ATen 209. UMKC -3.819 -3.660 -3.386 7 15 MidCon 210. CoppinState -4.089 -3.511 -1.332 11 13 MEAC 211. AppalachianState -4.117 -3.819 -3.386 11 12 Southern 212. FloridaAtlantic -4.150 -3.816 -3.463 11 11 TAAC 213. WakeForest -4.229 -4.735 -6.768 6 16 ACC 214. Minnesota -4.229 -4.502 -5.104 8 15 BigTen 215. SEMissouriState -4.284 -3.654 -2.538 7 15 OVC 216. Temple -4.423 -4.286 -4.036 8 15 ATen 217. SouthernIllinois -4.469 -4.713 -5.929 6 16 MVC 218. Washington -4.546 -5.486 -7.673 7 16 PacTen 219. Towson -4.576 -4.122 -4.506 7 15 AmEast 220. Siena -4.765 -4.317 -4.607 7 15 MAAC 221. BostonUniversity -4.932 -4.708 -4.330 7 15 AmEast 222. SanDiegoState -4.981 -5.169 -6.017 6 15 MtnWest 223. Drexel -5.002 -4.695 -5.371 8 16 AmEast 224. IllinoisChicago -5.266 -4.735 -2.819 8 14 MWC 225. Portland -5.336 -5.200 -5.095 9 16 WCC 226. Canisius -5.420 -4.695 -5.376 6 17 MAAC 227. BethuneCookman -5.490 -4.387 -1.895 10 11 MEAC 228. BowlingGreen -5.767 -5.543 -5.613 6 16 MAC 229. Baylor -5.780 -6.290 -7.990 5 16 BigTwelve 230. NewMexicoState -5.784 -5.617 -5.284 7 12 BigWest 231. CentralMichigan -5.824 -5.530 -5.960 8 14 MAC 232. AlabamaState -5.833 -4.651 -2.125 9 9 SWAC 233. Marist -5.960 -5.139 -3.911 10 12 MAAC 234. SamHoustonState -5.960 -5.270 -3.999 9 10 Southland 235. Wofford -6.000 -5.512 -3.707 7 14 Southern 236. LongIsland -6.044 -4.888 -2.964 8 14 Northeast 237. Lamar -6.079 -5.125 -3.280 6 14 Southland 238. WashingtonState -6.193 -6.909 -8.530 4 17 PacTen 239. Davidson -6.202 -5.890 -5.284 6 15 Southern 240. William&Mary -6.259 -5.516 -6.022 5 15 Colonial 241. DelawareState -6.338 -5.011 -3.032 9 13 MEAC 242. Army -6.347 -5.354 -2.145 8 13 Patriot 243. MarylandEasternShore -6.399 -5.354 -4.831 6 17 MEAC 244. CalPoly-SLO -6.457 -5.991 -5.376 5 14 BigWest 245. Wyoming -6.496 -6.457 -5.846 6 13 MtnWest 246. McNeeseState -6.514 -5.556 -3.291 10 10 Southland 247. Radford -6.540 -6.088 -4.510 10 13 BigSouth 248. Marshall -6.566 -6.035 -5.670 6 17 MAC 249. GeorgiaSouthern -6.575 -6.465 -6.351 7 15 Southern 250. PortlandState -6.672 -6.224 -4.888 7 14 BigSky 251. Colgate -6.830 -5.894 -2.718 10 12 Patriot 252. Lehigh -6.900 -5.916 -2.512 10 14 Patriot 253. TennesseeMartin -6.927 -6.404 -5.354 9 14 OVC 254. WestVirginia -6.984 -7.585 -8.302 6 17 BigEast 255. RobertMorris -7.093 -6.268 -4.161 8 12 Northeast 256. NorthernArizona -7.146 -6.601 -5.350 7 14 BigSky 257. TennesseeState -7.265 -6.342 -4.524 8 15 OVC 258. Albany -7.366 -6.083 -5.328 7 15 Independent 259. PrairieViewA&M -7.392 -5.714 -3.107 5 11 SWAC 260. CentralConnecticut -7.419 -6.373 -5.486 7 15 Northeast 261. LouisianaLafayette -7.454 -6.992 -3.592 9 12 SunBelt 262. MarylandBaltimoreCo -7.471 -6.228 -5.187 5 17 Northeast 263. Houston -7.520 -7.840 -8.794 6 17 CUSA 264. Iona -7.528 -6.777 -6.303 6 17 MAAC 265. CentralFlorida -7.656 -6.878 -6.615 6 16 TAAC 266. Winthrop -7.708 -6.922 -4.651 7 12 BigSouth 267. FairleighDickinson -7.713 -6.553 -3.878 8 13 Northeast 268. CharlestonSouthern -8.266 -7.313 -7.041 3 15 BigSouth 269. Quinnipiac -8.552 -7.687 -5.174 6 16 Northeast 270. SouthAlabama -8.657 -8.157 -8.091 5 16 SunBelt 271. EasternWashington -8.758 -8.192 -5.073 7 12 BigSky 272. Bradley -8.837 -8.697 -8.561 6 15 MVC 273. UNCAsheville -8.851 -8.161 -7.533 6 15 BigSouth 274. FloridaA&M -8.881 -7.744 -6.452 7 13 MEAC 275. WrightState -8.917 -8.332 -6.984 5 16 MWC 276. TexasSouthern -8.965 -7.708 -5.960 7 14 SWAC 277. Jacksonville -9.057 -8.152 -6.307 5 15 TAAC 278. Stetson -9.250 -8.420 -7.862 6 13 TAAC 279. NorthernIllinois -9.356 -8.877 -8.881 5 18 MAC 280. SELouisiana -9.804 -8.574 -7.445 5 14 Southland 281. Fordham -9.821 -9.611 -7.691 4 19 ATen 282. IllinoisState -10.155 -10.375 -10.498 6 15 MVC 283. HighPoint -10.401 -9.452 -7.098 5 15 BigSouth 284. EasternIllinois -10.472 -9.734 -7.660 6 16 OVC 285. Southern -10.498 -9.127 -4.590 7 11 SWAC 286. St.Bonaventure -10.603 -10.682 -8.372 8 15 ATen 287. MontanaState -11.087 -10.375 -7.603 3 17 BigSky 288. Navy -11.174 -9.734 -7.840 3 19 Patriot 289. NichollsState -11.271 -10.305 -10.559 3 18 Southland 290. TexasSanAntonio -11.394 -10.366 -9.224 5 16 Southland 291. Northwestern -11.394 -11.816 -11.746 6 17 BigTen 292. Princeton -11.869 -10.893 -9.760 4 17 Ivy 293. AlabamaA&M -12.317 -11.034 -8.047 4 16 SWAC 294. Brown -12.861 -11.912 -8.754 5 17 Ivy 295. ArkansasLittleRock -13.002 -12.914 -11.491 4 16 SunBelt 296. CalStateSacramento -13.178 -12.589 -10.999 4 16 BigSky 297. TexasElPaso -13.301 -12.281 -11.122 5 16 WAC 298. SouthCarolinaState -13.476 -12.413 -10.762 4 18 MEAC 299. Columbia -13.599 -12.211 -11.429 4 16 Ivy 300. TexasPanAmerican -13.608 -12.703 -9.637 3 17 Independent 301. JacksonState -13.652 -11.930 -10.568 3 16 SWAC 302. AirForce -13.916 -13.555 -13.608 3 16 MtnWest 303. Lafayette -14.750 -13.766 -12.308 4 19 Patriot 304. LoyolaIll. -14.838 -14.109 -11.218 3 17 MWC 305. MississippiValley -15.137 -13.898 -10.032 5 16 SWAC 306. MoreheadState -15.471 -14.548 -11.456 0 22 OVC 307. RhodeIsland -15.857 -15.576 -14.856 2 21 ATen 308. CollegeofCharleston -16.428 -15.717 -14.821 3 18 Southern 309. ArkansasPineBluff -16.745 -14.926 -13.002 2 14 SWAC 310. NorthCarolinaA&T -18.080 -17.017 -16.428 1 20 MEAC 311. CalStateFullerton -18.361 -18.168 -17.702 2 19 BigWest 312. SanJoseState -19.187 -18.765 -16.639 1 19 WAC 313. St.FrancisN.Y. -20.400 -19.047 -18.555 2 20 Northeast 314. ChicagoState -23.387 -22.561 -21.261 0 23 MidCon 315. Centenary -31.206 -30.152 -28.869 0 22 Independent Sun Feb 13 20:02:31 CST 2000Calculations by Curtis Schmelling, made possible by MacPerl and Java!
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