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Mean home advantage: Mean: 5.520881006864989 SD: 17.80239290865613 N1 = raw expected winning margin N2 = expected winning margin, adjusted once for opponents' strength rank team n-Rating N2 N1 W L conference 1. Connecticut 30.059 25.921 19.437 22 2 BigEast 2. Tennessee 24.078 19.489 13.517 26 1 SEC 3. NotreDame 23.939 20.010 16.038 23 1 BigEast 4. Georgia 21.123 16.472 11.709 22 4 SEC 5. Purdue 18.567 15.212 12.309 24 4 BigTen 6. Oklahoma 18.515 14.882 10.344 21 4 BigTwelve 7. TexasTech 16.872 13.447 9.988 19 5 BigTwelve 8. Rutgers 16.838 12.517 8.271 18 6 BigEast 9. Duke 16.803 14.047 11.335 23 3 ACC 10. LouisianaTech 16.777 13.708 11.057 23 4 SunBelt 11. IowaState 16.585 14.134 10.831 20 4 BigTwelve 12. Florida 16.577 12.804 9.431 21 4 SEC 13. Utah 16.299 14.273 12.152 21 2 MtnWest 14. Vanderbilt 16.055 12.004 8.327 18 7 SEC 15. SWMissouriState 14.595 12.474 10.735 19 5 MVC 16. Texas 14.412 10.961 7.589 19 8 BigTwelve 17. Baylor 14.308 11.379 8.714 18 6 BigTwelve 18. NorthCarolinaState 13.978 11.031 7.011 17 8 ACC 19. Wisconsin 13.430 9.849 7.628 16 8 BigTen 20. LSU 13.317 9.666 5.502 17 8 SEC 21. PennState 13.308 9.640 6.615 18 7 BigTen 22. GeorgeWashington 12.735 9.910 7.019 18 8 ATen 23. Colorado 12.691 9.232 7.210 18 5 BigTwelve 24. VirginiaTech 12.526 9.466 6.146 17 7 BigEast 25. OldDominion 12.396 9.318 6.958 15 8 Colonial 26. Arkansas 11.918 7.975 4.816 16 10 SEC 27. Washington 11.865 8.697 6.593 16 7 PacTen 28. Missouri 11.787 8.397 6.063 15 8 BigTwelve 29. Chattanooga 11.744 10.440 9.171 19 6 Southern 30. OhioState 11.709 9.527 8.927 15 9 BigTen 31. Oregon 11.683 8.727 6.424 13 10 PacTen 32. Virginia 11.639 9.214 5.659 16 11 ACC 33. Xavier 11.492 9.223 9.032 22 2 ATen 34. Clemson 11.431 9.232 6.237 17 8 ACC 35. Villanova 11.422 8.258 4.481 18 7 BigEast 36. Iowa 11.361 8.584 4.296 15 9 BigTen 37. Stanford 11.161 8.223 4.729 14 8 PacTen 38. NorthCarolina 11.153 8.801 7.115 14 11 ACC 39. FloridaState 11.118 8.810 6.698 17 8 ACC 40. Auburn 10.961 7.971 5.833 15 10 SEC 41. Arizona 10.927 7.815 5.655 17 7 PacTen 42. Tulane 10.692 8.549 7.467 18 9 CUSA 43. Siena 10.457 9.310 8.319 19 5 MAAC 44. ColoradoState 10.440 8.793 6.989 18 5 MtnWest 45. Indiana 10.266 7.762 5.285 17 8 BigTen 46. BostonCollege 10.170 6.767 3.116 10 14 BigEast 47. Pennsylvania 10.170 9.110 9.475 17 5 Ivy 48. TCU 10.101 8.488 8.145 19 5 WAC 49. Delaware 10.005 9.136 10.014 21 3 AmEast 50. BYU 9.701 7.450 6.172 15 9 MtnWest 51. StephenF.Austin 9.579 9.318 9.901 22 4 Southland 52. Syracuse 9.171 5.641 2.419 11 12 BigEast 53. Fairfield 9.171 7.797 7.215 21 4 MAAC 54. SantaClara 9.110 7.367 5.889 18 6 WCC 55. Toledo 9.101 8.036 8.123 19 5 MAC 56. UAB 9.092 7.428 6.485 16 9 CUSA 57. UNCGreensboro 8.836 7.915 7.310 19 6 Southern 58. ArizonaState 8.753 5.802 3.883 18 7 PacTen 59. NorthTexas 8.714 6.780 5.537 16 9 SunBelt 60. Denver 8.710 6.880 5.846 20 5 SunBelt 61. OregonState 8.558 6.102 4.924 12 11 PacTen 62. Hawaii 8.519 7.158 8.101 19 5 WAC 63. NewMexico 8.501 6.050 4.759 14 10 MtnWest 64. UCSantaBarbara 8.319 5.885 5.211 14 8 BigWest 65. FloridaInternational 8.249 6.107 5.320 18 7 SunBelt 66. St.Marys 8.075 6.676 5.759 20 5 WCC 67. Temple 7.962 5.772 4.976 16 8 ATen 68. Furman 7.958 6.993 6.041 17 8 Southern 69. Houston 7.928 5.481 4.246 17 9 CUSA 70. Vermont 7.880 6.398 5.194 14 10 AmEast 71. GeorgiaSouthern 7.867 6.654 6.198 18 6 Southern 72. WisconsinGreenBay 7.841 6.780 5.681 16 7 MWC 73. Michigan 7.819 4.946 2.206 16 10 BigTen 74. Georgetown 7.815 5.359 3.592 15 10 BigEast 75. MississippiState 7.693 4.433 1.473 13 12 SEC 76. St.Peters 7.689 6.737 7.145 15 9 MAAC 77. Alabama 7.541 4.203 2.684 17 8 SEC 78. Louisville 7.528 5.324 4.790 18 8 CUSA 79. Pepperdine 7.484 5.663 4.642 19 8 WCC 80. TennesseeTech 7.441 6.350 7.267 21 4 OVC 81. GeorgeMason 7.384 6.137 6.233 18 6 Colonial 82. KentState 7.384 6.224 6.046 17 7 MAC 83. DePaul 7.128 4.659 3.438 13 12 CUSA 84. Cincinnati 6.971 5.055 4.894 19 7 CUSA 85. Kansas 6.963 4.212 0.952 10 14 BigTwelve 86. NorthernIowa 6.945 5.350 5.007 15 7 MVC 87. Drake 6.928 4.916 5.476 18 4 MVC 88. LoyolaMarymount 6.911 5.350 3.977 18 7 WCC 89. Maryland 6.811 5.181 2.314 15 9 ACC 90. Howard 6.632 5.511 5.359 15 8 MEAC 91. JamesMadison 6.580 4.859 4.242 16 7 Colonial 92. BallState 6.532 6.059 6.763 18 7 MAC 93. Bucknell 6.493 6.198 6.428 19 5 Patriot 94. IdahoState 6.441 5.728 5.920 15 4 BigSky 95. WesternKentucky 6.433 4.768 2.749 16 10 SunBelt 96. Mississippi 6.350 3.471 1.269 14 10 SEC 97. GeorgiaState 6.267 5.746 5.472 16 5 TAAC 98. USC 6.263 3.373 1.026 9 13 PacTen 99. Campbell 6.237 6.341 7.875 16 5 TAAC 100. OklahomaState 6.163 3.229 1.054 13 11 BigTwelve 101. Memphis 5.998 3.308 1.673 14 11 CUSA 102. HolyCross 5.924 4.798 4.777 19 7 Patriot 103. MiddleTennessee 5.733 4.138 2.145 13 11 SunBelt 104. SetonHall 5.681 3.618 2.010 16 8 BigEast 105. Buffalo 5.676 4.598 5.103 17 7 MAC 106. LaSalle 5.589 3.768 2.269 13 12 ATen 107. Montana 5.546 4.642 5.003 15 8 BigSky 108. Illinois 5.411 2.217 -0.429 13 13 BigTen 109. MiamiOhio 5.333 4.216 4.616 13 10 MAC 110. Marquette 5.294 2.708 0.033 10 15 CUSA 111. GeorgiaTech 5.229 3.079 -0.032 12 12 ACC 112. OralRoberts 5.207 4.307 4.340 14 8 MidCon 113. Pacific 5.176 4.257 5.294 16 8 BigWest 114. St.Josephs 5.137 2.958 1.254 13 12 ATen 115. Dayton 5.055 3.162 1.838 13 12 ATen 116. MiamiFla. 5.042 2.186 2.271 13 11 BigEast 117. Providence 5.016 2.453 0.128 9 14 BigEast 118. TAMUCC 4.868 4.244 5.411 15 11 Independent 119. Creighton 4.863 3.012 3.344 15 8 MVC 120. SouthCarolina 4.698 1.289 -0.534 11 15 SEC 121. VirginiaCommonwealth 4.668 3.016 2.716 14 9 Colonial 122. EasternMichigan 4.607 3.575 3.936 15 9 MAC 123. UNLV 4.520 3.101 2.697 16 7 MtnWest 124. Oakland 4.490 3.631 3.414 14 9 MidCon 125. MontanaState 4.309 3.442 4.379 14 7 BigSky 126. California 4.253 1.282 -0.920 11 11 PacTen 127. SaintLouis 4.181 2.419 1.510 14 11 CUSA 128. Nebraska 3.959 0.976 -3.035 10 15 BigTwelve 129. Drexel 3.818 3.138 3.064 16 9 AmEast 130. LoyolaMd. 3.783 3.003 3.305 17 8 MAAC 131. Evansville 3.770 2.540 1.273 11 12 MVC 132. KansasState 3.760 1.489 0.411 11 13 BigTwelve 133. Pittsburgh 3.757 1.441 0.285 9 16 BigEast 134. Nevada 3.712 2.277 1.589 13 11 WAC 135. SanFrancisco 3.579 2.034 0.921 11 13 WCC 136. TexasA&M 3.570 1.589 -1.055 12 12 BigTwelve 137. ArkansasState 3.468 1.702 0.445 12 13 SunBelt 138. Maine 3.216 2.430 2.949 11 13 AmEast 139. Richmond 3.162 1.469 1.495 14 11 Colonial 140. EasternKentucky 3.153 2.971 3.836 17 5 OVC 141. SacredHeart 3.123 2.892 4.092 12 12 Northeast 142. Manhattan 3.086 2.475 1.693 14 11 MAAC 143. Hartford 3.045 2.493 2.425 12 12 AmEast 144. SouthernUtah 3.023 2.362 3.903 12 11 MidCon 145. LouisianaMonroe 3.014 2.892 4.677 16 8 Southland 146. SanDiegoState 2.905 1.445 0.541 13 11 MtnWest 147. EastCarolina 2.877 1.532 0.945 12 11 Colonial 148. WisconsinMilwaukee 2.806 1.589 1.634 12 10 MWC 149. WeberState 2.693 2.119 2.469 10 13 BigSky 150. NorthwesternState 2.662 2.632 5.133 17 6 Southland 151. Minnesota 2.653 -0.053 -1.674 7 17 BigTen 152. NewOrleans 2.603 1.336 1.823 13 12 SunBelt 153. ClevelandState 2.521 2.008 1.669 12 12 MWC 154. WakeForest 2.460 0.456 -2.120 11 14 ACC 155. WesternIllinois 2.451 1.560 3.358 13 10 MidCon 156. WesternCarolina 2.447 2.008 2.036 11 14 Southern 157. Stetson 2.332 2.562 5.420 19 5 TAAC 158. Army 2.249 2.210 3.757 15 9 Patriot 159. MichiganState 2.238 -0.403 -2.444 9 16 BigTen 160. Harvard 2.158 1.121 1.134 9 13 Ivy 161. Rice 2.075 0.291 -1.212 14 10 WAC 162. Hampton 1.915 2.171 2.686 10 13 MEAC 163. TexasSanAntonio 1.860 1.786 1.432 11 11 Southland 164. Portland 1.860 0.754 0.745 10 13 WCC 165. Duquesne 1.841 0.369 -0.086 14 11 ATen 166. Brown 1.732 1.113 0.726 10 13 Ivy 167. Cornell 1.730 1.326 2.408 12 11 Ivy 168. Detroit 1.680 0.834 1.124 14 11 MWC 169. Belmont 1.599 1.391 1.536 10 12 Independent 170. SMU 1.517 0.106 -1.236 14 11 WAC 171. Southern 1.473 1.804 3.325 15 7 SWAC 172. LongIsland 1.386 1.350 2.736 12 12 Northeast 173. SEMissouriState 1.280 1.228 3.955 11 10 OVC 174. WichitaState 1.210 -0.323 -0.668 9 14 MVC 175. Lehigh 1.191 1.069 1.232 12 12 Patriot 176. Northeastern 0.958 0.172 -1.407 12 12 AmEast 177. NorthernArizona 0.952 -0.221 -0.305 11 14 BigSky 178. Massachusetts 0.943 -0.914 -1.429 11 14 ATen 179. UCIrvine 0.902 0.309 -0.225 10 13 BigWest 180. Liberty 0.878 0.115 0.721 13 11 BigSouth 181. AlcornState 0.800 0.852 2.419 14 9 SWAC 182. Lamar 0.787 0.974 2.743 11 13 Southland 183. Quinnipiac 0.663 0.569 1.765 12 12 Northeast 184. UNCCharlotte 0.608 -1.164 -2.535 10 15 CUSA 185. TennesseeMartin 0.591 0.502 1.128 9 14 OVC 186. Grambling 0.585 0.732 0.863 10 10 SWAC 187. Dartmouth 0.535 -1.175 -1.249 9 13 Ivy 188. LongBeachState 0.530 -0.536 0.695 14 10 BigWest 189. CentralConnecticut 0.502 0.537 1.254 13 11 Northeast 190. Navy 0.467 0.417 1.628 10 15 Patriot 191. NewMexicoState 0.337 -0.836 -1.244 8 15 SunBelt 192. WashingtonState 0.296 -2.116 -3.528 10 13 PacTen 193. William&Mary 0.228 -0.590 -1.203 7 15 Colonial 194. Wyoming 0.196 -1.014 -2.874 8 14 MtnWest 195. StonyBrook 0.057 -0.188 0.902 14 9 Independent 196. TexasSouthern -0.010 0.328 1.084 9 11 SWAC 197. Canisius -0.079 -0.833 -1.966 7 17 MAAC 198. SouthernMississippi -0.288 -1.372 -1.716 12 14 CUSA 199. HighPoint -0.349 -0.268 1.408 10 13 BigSouth 200. Niagara -0.408 -0.855 -0.903 9 16 MAAC 201. NorthernIllinois -0.444 -1.294 -2.331 11 14 MAC 202. Mt.St.Marys -0.462 -1.079 -0.334 12 12 Northeast 203. PrairieViewA&M -0.566 -0.056 0.882 8 12 SWAC 204. RhodeIsland -0.729 -1.950 -2.600 10 15 ATen 205. AustinPeay -0.814 -0.875 -0.529 12 12 OVC 206. AlabamaState -1.001 -0.499 2.821 15 4 SWAC 207. BethuneCookman -1.053 -0.418 1.063 7 14 MEAC 208. Yale -1.146 -1.464 -1.616 7 15 Ivy 209. YoungstownState -1.151 -1.407 -0.499 10 15 MidCon 210. TennesseeState -1.264 -1.438 -2.802 6 18 OVC 211. St.Johns -1.305 -3.611 -4.061 7 17 BigEast 212. UCLA -1.316 -4.395 -8.044 3 20 PacTen 213. Wofford -1.438 -2.029 -2.235 7 16 Southern 214. IUPUI -1.540 -2.350 -2.066 10 15 MidCon 215. SanJoseState -1.564 -2.313 -1.744 11 13 WAC 216. MoreheadState -1.590 -1.375 -0.966 6 16 OVC 217. SouthCarolinaState -1.638 -1.020 1.158 13 7 MEAC 218. NewHampshire -1.709 -2.535 -3.982 8 16 AmEast 219. Ohio -1.720 -2.348 -2.894 8 17 MAC 220. SanDiego -1.777 -2.885 -2.963 8 14 WCC 221. CollegeofCharleston -1.820 -2.050 -1.498 10 14 Southern 222. Monmouth -1.844 -1.729 -0.047 13 11 Northeast 223. IndianaState -1.864 -2.728 -3.856 8 15 MVC 224. SouthAlabama -1.959 -3.059 -3.250 12 13 SunBelt 225. BostonUniversity -1.996 -2.746 -3.519 7 17 AmEast 226. Valparaiso -2.150 -2.872 -3.052 5 19 MidCon 227. CharlestonSouthern -2.155 -2.066 -0.229 11 11 BigSouth 228. Wagner -2.261 -2.298 -1.036 11 13 Northeast 229. CalStateNorthridge -2.309 -3.509 -2.831 9 14 BigSky 230. BoiseState -2.316 -3.196 -3.322 9 14 BigWest 231. FloridaA&M -2.361 -2.040 -0.564 12 9 MEAC 232. Marist -2.416 -3.152 -4.339 6 19 MAAC 233. CoastalCarolina -2.418 -2.592 -1.790 10 12 BigSouth 234. Tulsa -2.565 -3.985 -5.019 7 17 WAC 235. Elon -2.715 -2.722 -0.994 12 12 BigSouth 236. Idaho -2.748 -3.550 -4.741 5 17 BigWest 237. Hofstra -2.750 -3.352 -2.904 8 16 AmEast 238. Mercer -2.761 -3.222 -2.952 3 18 TAAC 239. Columbia -2.791 -2.933 -2.153 7 14 Ivy 240. LouisianaLafayette -2.826 -4.308 -4.550 8 17 SunBelt 241. SouthernIllinois -2.926 -4.156 -5.245 5 19 MVC 242. JacksonState -3.026 -2.450 -1.427 6 14 SWAC 243. Colgate -3.133 -3.248 -3.539 4 20 Patriot 244. St.Bonaventure -3.154 -4.430 -5.362 7 18 ATen 245. FairleighDickinson -3.161 -3.285 -2.807 9 15 Northeast 246. MorganState -3.254 -2.878 -2.359 9 14 MEAC 247. St.FrancisPa. -3.333 -3.244 -4.004 7 17 Northeast 248. MarylandBaltimoreCo -3.341 -3.583 -2.331 11 13 Northeast 249. Radford -3.376 -3.978 -2.594 10 15 BigSouth 250. Kentucky -3.385 -6.349 -9.752 6 18 SEC 251. Fordham -3.402 -4.845 -6.088 5 21 ATen 252. Butler -3.485 -4.471 -4.771 8 15 MWC 253. CentralFlorida -3.556 -3.919 -3.885 8 16 TAAC 254. WesternMichigan -3.687 -4.980 -6.275 7 16 MAC 255. DelawareState -3.696 -3.087 -2.720 11 13 MEAC 256. IllinoisChicago -3.709 -4.176 -2.983 8 16 MWC 257. NorfolkState -3.715 -3.028 -1.512 10 12 MEAC 258. TroyState -3.845 -3.513 -1.349 12 10 TAAC 259. EastTennesseeState -3.856 -4.389 -5.414 6 19 Southern 260. EasternWashington -3.859 -4.200 -4.050 7 15 BigSky 261. Davidson -3.889 -4.245 -4.584 8 16 Southern 262. UNCWilmington -3.913 -4.467 -4.941 9 15 Colonial 263. TexasPanAmerican -4.039 -4.650 -3.548 8 14 Independent 264. FresnoState -4.045 -4.902 -5.202 9 16 WAC 265. WrightState -4.045 -4.439 -2.985 6 17 MWC 266. Bradley -4.074 -4.893 -4.962 9 13 MVC 267. Rider -4.117 -4.832 -5.884 5 20 MAAC 268. Jacksonville -4.243 -3.841 -2.122 13 11 TAAC 269. FloridaAtlantic -4.443 -4.391 -5.045 6 18 TAAC 270. BowlingGreen -4.515 -5.023 -4.054 10 14 MAC 271. WestVirginia -4.723 -6.949 -7.553 5 19 BigEast 272. Iona -4.763 -5.362 -6.332 7 17 MAAC 273. SELouisiana -4.823 -4.754 -3.615 10 13 Southland 274. Marshall -4.867 -5.015 -3.083 7 15 MAC 275. CalPoly -4.941 -5.801 -3.678 9 13 BigWest 276. CoppinState -5.454 -5.501 -5.297 7 16 MEAC 277. Lafayette -5.467 -5.940 -5.971 7 18 Patriot 278. LoyolaIll. -5.497 -5.662 -5.623 10 14 MWC 279. TexasElPaso -5.636 -6.410 -5.684 5 16 WAC 280. EasternIllinois -5.758 -6.571 -5.880 6 18 OVC 281. MurrayState -5.827 -5.984 -5.871 7 18 OVC 282. AlabamaA&M -5.979 -5.319 -3.393 5 15 SWAC 283. AppalachianState -6.006 -6.423 -7.314 5 20 Southern 284. SamHoustonState -6.092 -6.249 -5.658 6 18 Southland 285. IllinoisState -6.158 -7.596 -8.557 4 19 MVC 286. JacksonvilleState -6.271 -5.693 -5.428 5 15 TAAC 287. ArkansasLittleRock -6.288 -7.970 -8.687 5 19 SunBelt 288. McNeeseState -6.353 -6.110 -3.320 6 19 Southland 289. NorthCarolinaA&T -6.397 -5.762 -5.475 2 18 MEAC 290. American -6.440 -7.214 -8.227 4 20 Colonial 291. Albany -6.844 -7.214 -8.326 4 19 Independent 292. Northwestern -7.088 -8.887 -10.830 4 20 BigTen 293. NichollsState -7.175 -6.953 -6.536 8 16 Southland 294. SouthFlorida -7.183 -8.800 -9.352 4 21 CUSA 295. CentralMichigan -7.257 -7.861 -8.474 2 20 MAC 296. UNCAsheville -7.462 -7.818 -7.775 4 19 BigSouth 297. Winthrop -7.475 -7.414 -7.140 7 17 BigSouth 298. Gonzaga -7.496 -8.483 -9.170 4 20 WCC 299. Towson -7.588 -8.253 -8.500 2 21 AmEast 300. Samford -8.809 -8.379 -7.974 5 18 TAAC 301. Akron -8.839 -9.239 -9.109 5 19 MAC 302. CalStateSacramento -9.196 -9.683 -9.013 2 19 BigSky 303. PortlandState -9.265 -9.804 -10.135 2 22 BigSky 304. TexasArlington -9.352 -9.048 -8.287 6 18 Southland 305. ChicagoState -9.709 -9.935 -9.943 7 17 MidCon 306. SWTexasState -9.787 -9.378 -9.909 4 16 Southland 307. ArkansasPineBluff -10.248 -10.387 -9.978 2 21 SWAC 308. RobertMorris -10.534 -10.343 -8.444 3 21 Northeast 309. AirForce -10.717 -11.386 -12.325 3 20 MtnWest 310. Princeton -11.221 -11.465 -11.708 1 21 Ivy 311. St.FrancisN.Y. -11.508 -11.378 -10.891 2 22 Northeast 312. MarylandEasternShore -11.638 -10.926 -9.787 4 19 MEAC 313. MissouriKansasCity -13.281 -13.942 -14.203 1 23 MidCon 314. CalStateFullerton -17.906 -18.584 -17.228 1 20 BigWest 315. Centenary -19.227 -18.827 -18.862 0 21 Independent 316. MississippiValley -19.557 -18.601 -19.192 1 19 SWAC Mon Feb 19 06:40:32 CST 2001Calculations by Curtis Schmelling, made possible by MacPerl and Java!
(C) Copyright 1997-2001, Curtis Schmelling
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