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Mean home advantage: 7.91207729468599 SD: 19.0235297738571 N1 = raw expected winning margin N2 = expected winning margin, adjusted once for opponents' strength rank team n-Rating N2 N1 W L conference 1. Connecticut 35.892 29.018 25.173 7 0 BigEast 2. NotreDame 28.071 20.900 16.711 8 0 BigEast 3. Tennessee 25.656 18.893 14.797 9 0 SEC 4. OhioState 25.043 21.401 22.683 8 0 BigTen 5. Baylor 24.430 21.309 24.653 7 0 BigTwelve 6. Florida 23.055 19.228 17.658 8 0 SEC 7. Duke 21.290 16.692 15.419 10 1 ACC 8. Texas 20.770 15.754 14.472 10 1 BigTwelve 9. Georgia 20.751 15.791 9.368 7 2 SEC 10. TexasTech 20.324 15.029 12.233 6 1 BigTwelve 11. Oregon 19.841 14.602 7.171 4 3 PacTen 12. PennState 19.711 14.472 5.169 6 3 BigTen 13. OldDominion 18.996 12.874 8.629 2 3 Colonial 14. Stanford 18.847 14.342 9.893 5 2 PacTen 15. Utah 18.643 14.379 14.063 8 0 MtnWest 16. Auburn 18.550 17.472 19.414 9 0 SEC 17. Virginia 18.541 12.735 11.109 7 3 ACC 18. Purdue 18.206 12.568 8.643 8 3 BigTen 19. SWMissouriState 17.732 12.884 8.035 6 2 MVC 20. Vanderbilt 17.537 14.426 11.983 7 2 SEC 21. NorthTexas 17.519 15.299 16.543 8 0 SunBelt 22. OregonState 17.119 13.747 16.553 6 0 PacTen 23. NorthCarolinaState 16.664 11.119 8.262 7 1 ACC 24. Temple 16.590 12.512 13.218 5 1 ATen 25. LouisianaTech 16.571 12.010 7.468 8 3 SunBelt 26. Indiana 16.497 12.949 12.094 8 1 BigTen 27. Arkansas 16.469 11.825 8.118 6 3 SEC 28. Rutgers 16.246 11.054 9.103 6 1 BigEast 29. SantaClara 15.856 10.701 8.216 6 2 WCC 30. IowaState 15.596 12.345 11.425 8 0 BigTwelve 31. Xavier 15.215 12.029 9.512 6 1 ATen 32. Maryland 15.150 11.017 9.493 7 2 ACC 33. Creighton 14.751 11.500 9.447 6 1 MVC 34. Washington 14.481 10.571 8.053 5 2 PacTen 35. Oklahoma 14.333 8.973 7.087 5 3 BigTwelve 36. Missouri 14.212 11.732 11.277 7 1 BigTwelve 37. GeorgeWashington 14.184 9.660 3.713 5 4 ATen 38. Arizona 14.091 10.905 7.041 7 1 PacTen 39. USC 13.775 9.145 6.618 5 2 PacTen 40. Toledo 13.255 9.930 8.885 5 3 MAC 41. BostonCollege 12.661 8.221 4.923 5 3 BigEast 42. Villanova 12.438 7.208 3.428 6 3 BigEast 43. Mississippi 12.410 9.948 13.645 8 0 SEC 44. MississippiState 12.363 9.293 8.848 6 2 SEC 45. Colorado 12.345 9.071 10.431 6 2 BigTwelve 46. VirginiaTech 12.168 9.335 5.592 6 2 BigEast 47. NorthCarolina 12.113 8.137 4.682 5 3 ACC 48. Delaware 12.029 9.307 9.112 8 3 AmEast 49. FloridaState 11.723 10.078 12.726 6 2 ACC 50. GeorgeMason 11.500 8.434 7.830 6 2 Colonial 51. LSU 11.472 6.219 3.618 6 3 SEC 52. BYU 11.314 7.543 8.053 6 3 MtnWest 53. DePaul 11.267 7.598 7.036 5 3 CUSA 54. Wisconsin 11.230 5.471 0.992 5 3 BigTen 55. Syracuse 11.137 7.250 7.533 4 3 BigEast 56. Alabama 11.109 8.569 8.694 8 0 SEC 57. ArizonaState 11.035 8.151 8.295 6 2 PacTen 58. KansasState 11.017 8.927 13.181 9 1 BigTwelve 59. Buffalo 10.691 8.304 9.976 8 0 MAC 60. Michigan 10.682 6.405 4.008 7 3 BigTen 61. WesternCarolina 10.626 9.967 11.778 5 3 Southern 62. NorthernIowa 10.626 6.628 8.397 5 2 MVC 63. Siena 10.608 8.258 9.837 5 2 MAAC 64. Georgetown 10.403 6.809 4.282 6 3 BigEast 65. ColoradoState 10.181 8.379 9.252 8 1 MtnWest 66. Tulane 10.106 6.205 4.617 4 5 CUSA 67. UCSantaBarbara 9.920 5.731 3.490 4 3 BigWest 68. Clemson 9.865 6.330 4.937 6 2 ACC 69. Pennsylvania 9.846 5.652 3.209 1 5 Ivy 70. MichiganState 9.716 6.744 4.542 5 5 BigTen 71. UAB 9.698 9.261 7.324 8 3 CUSA 72. St.Marys 9.354 6.985 4.463 6 2 WCC 73. Memphis 9.256 6.511 2.338 6 3 CUSA 74. Drake 9.210 6.154 2.831 5 3 MVC 75. St.Josephs 9.084 4.651 0.495 4 4 ATen 76. Pacific 8.982 6.600 5.494 6 4 BigWest 77. Iowa 8.973 4.524 1.370 5 5 BigTen 78. TCU 8.941 6.237 2.636 5 2 WAC 79. MontanaState 8.829 5.076 5.095 4 3 BigSky 80. Houston 8.615 4.113 1.537 4 4 CUSA 81. NewMexico 8.606 4.359 2.873 5 4 MtnWest 82. Nebraska 8.583 3.985 3.253 5 3 BigTwelve 83. Denver 8.536 7.431 3.089 5 4 SunBelt 84. Army 8.439 8.049 11.490 8 1 Patriot 85. UNCGreensboro 8.374 7.106 5.276 5 2 Southern 86. Montana 8.341 5.889 3.363 5 2 BigSky 87. GeorgiaSouthern 8.067 5.369 6.990 5 3 Southern 88. WisconsinGreenBay 7.998 5.652 2.276 5 5 MWC 89. Cincinnati 7.854 5.053 6.535 7 1 CUSA 90. SetonHall 7.529 6.442 4.974 6 3 BigEast 91. Furman 7.519 6.182 3.497 5 3 Southern 92. Pittsburgh 7.459 5.740 7.496 4 4 BigEast 93. Pepperdine 7.385 4.510 3.079 8 3 WCC 94. Minnesota 7.352 3.813 4.384 5 3 BigTen 95. Providence 7.320 5.494 2.534 4 4 BigEast 96. BethuneCookman 7.310 7.431 6.758 2 4 MEAC 97. MiddleTennessee 7.306 5.922 3.300 4 3 SunBelt 98. Brown 7.217 5.689 5.494 3 5 Ivy 99. Portland 7.152 4.217 4.403 5 3 WCC 100. Rice 6.897 3.309 3.370 7 2 WAC 101. Dayton 6.860 3.558 1.268 5 4 ATen 102. Vermont 6.813 5.843 2.206 5 5 AmEast 103. FloridaInternational 6.767 4.310 5.439 5 2 SunBelt 104. Hartford 6.744 4.937 5.931 4 3 AmEast 105. Kansas 6.734 4.020 3.669 5 3 BigTwelve 106. Davidson 6.720 6.762 7.654 4 3 Southern 107. OklahomaState 6.614 2.220 1.398 5 3 BigTwelve 108. Bucknell 6.465 6.024 10.626 7 1 Patriot 109. Manhattan 6.042 4.970 5.443 6 2 MAAC 110. Marquette 5.959 3.054 -1.520 4 4 CUSA 111. StephenF.Austin 5.959 4.500 6.293 6 3 Southland 112. EasternMichigan 5.833 2.687 3.941 6 2 MAC 113. Nevada 5.731 3.741 1.303 3 4 WAC 114. Chattanooga 5.443 3.990 2.859 6 3 Southern 115. ClevelandState 5.439 4.517 3.395 5 3 MWC 116. MiamiOhio 5.425 3.855 2.023 4 4 MAC 117. ArkansasState 5.392 4.245 1.417 4 5 SunBelt 118. UNLV 5.346 2.752 6.061 6 1 MtnWest 119. SacredHeart 5.290 5.030 4.280 3 4 Northeast 120. WakeForest 5.281 4.066 4.138 6 2 ACC 121. SaintLouis 5.216 3.797 3.597 6 2 CUSA 122. SanFrancisco 5.165 1.979 -0.712 2 4 WCC 123. LaSalle 5.076 1.312 -0.847 3 4 ATen 124. JamesMadison 4.951 1.746 3.899 5 3 Colonial 125. Evansville 4.905 0.704 2.174 2 4 MVC 126. VirginiaCommonwealth 4.886 3.548 3.736 6 1 Colonial 127. NewOrleans 4.863 4.231 7.821 5 2 SunBelt 128. Canisius 4.647 3.713 1.410 2 5 MAAC 129. St.Johns 4.505 1.558 2.696 4 4 BigEast 130. Campbell 4.480 4.415 6.451 4 3 TAAC 131. SouthCarolina 4.459 0.569 -3.338 2 7 SEC 132. Wyoming 4.347 2.856 0.992 4 3 MtnWest 133. Cornell 4.275 4.373 5.179 6 2 Ivy 134. BallState 3.997 3.453 2.859 5 3 MAC 135. UNCWilmington 3.911 3.418 2.856 6 2 Colonial 136. Fairfield 3.818 1.300 2.715 7 2 MAAC 137. California 3.750 1.519 -1.532 3 5 PacTen 138. Duquesne 3.727 1.472 -0.419 6 3 ATen 139. WesternKentucky 3.709 0.293 -1.485 5 4 SunBelt 140. Drexel 3.653 2.183 3.024 4 2 AmEast 141. Detroit 3.541 0.757 2.626 5 3 MWC 142. Northeastern 3.541 2.041 0.265 3 3 AmEast 143. St.Peters 3.497 2.041 4.071 4 3 MAAC 144. SouthernUtah 3.458 1.581 1.686 3 7 MidCon 145. BostonUniversity 3.379 2.301 3.439 4 5 AmEast 146. NewMexicoState 3.298 3.476 4.336 2 4 SunBelt 147. KentState 3.112 0.109 0.425 3 5 MAC 148. Hawaii 3.021 0.704 0.803 6 2 WAC 149. LoyolaMd. 2.965 1.567 -0.224 4 4 MAAC 150. SanDiegoState 2.914 1.224 2.575 3 5 MtnWest 151. NorthwesternState 2.777 2.071 7.937 5 2 Southland 152. Louisville 2.582 -1.416 -2.465 3 5 CUSA 153. SanDiego 2.410 -0.192 1.588 3 2 WCC 154. TennesseeTech 2.373 -0.456 -0.965 4 4 OVC 155. SanJoseState 2.297 -0.631 -1.267 5 2 WAC 156. Illinois 2.243 -1.334 -4.186 3 6 BigTen 157. WichitaState 2.225 0.318 -4.959 2 4 MVC 158. Quinnipiac 2.171 0.880 1.500 2 4 Northeast 159. IndianaState 2.139 0.560 -0.542 3 5 MVC 160. MiamiFla. 2.136 -0.526 0.318 3 3 BigEast 161. Northwestern 2.120 -0.415 -2.219 3 6 BigTen 162. TAMUCC 2.057 1.711 1.739 5 5 Independent 163. Massachusetts 2.006 -1.081 -2.163 4 5 ATen 164. LoyolaMarymount 1.988 1.767 0.924 4 2 WCC 165. Richmond 1.948 -0.359 -3.190 3 4 Colonial 166. Colgate 1.846 1.061 2.482 2 5 Patriot 167. Marist 1.814 0.994 -0.552 2 7 MAAC 168. LouisianaMonroe 1.658 1.280 6.642 4 4 Southland 169. TexasA&M 1.651 2.273 4.684 6 1 BigTwelve 170. GeorgiaTech 1.463 -1.836 -3.917 4 3 ACC 171. TennesseeMartin 1.461 2.394 2.102 3 3 OVC 172. UNCCharlotte 1.342 -0.052 -1.583 3 5 CUSA 173. Bradley 1.314 -0.793 0.801 4 3 MVC 174. OralRoberts 0.945 -0.308 1.296 4 3 MidCon 175. Kentucky 0.917 -2.925 -5.786 3 5 SEC 176. SouthernIllinois 0.785 -1.174 -0.858 2 6 MVC 177. LongBeachState 0.743 -1.504 -2.115 2 5 BigWest 178. Lamar 0.734 0.202 1.672 3 4 Southland 179. CollegeofCharleston 0.683 0.834 0.873 3 3 Southern 180. UCIrvine 0.532 -0.127 -0.194 3 5 BigWest 181. IdahoState 0.488 -2.351 -1.090 1 3 BigSky 182. WashingtonState 0.471 -2.182 -2.191 4 4 PacTen 183. SEMissouriState 0.330 0.392 5.466 2 3 OVC 184. Idaho 0.195 -2.414 -4.511 3 7 BigWest 185. Oakland 0.067 -1.650 -1.892 3 5 MidCon 186. Lehigh 0.065 -1.097 0.604 5 3 Patriot 187. WesternMichigan 0.042 -1.413 -3.357 1 4 MAC 188. YoungstownState -0.138 -0.199 -0.271 3 7 MidCon 189. Rider -0.157 -0.939 -5.475 1 6 MAAC 190. Howard -0.166 0.353 -0.526 4 3 MEAC 191. Stetson -0.217 0.311 2.754 6 2 TAAC 192. WisconsinMilwaukee -0.231 -1.984 0.762 3 4 MWC 193. HolyCross -0.315 -0.670 0.158 4 5 Patriot 194. Butler -0.371 -2.221 -3.327 5 4 MWC 195. EasternKentucky -0.447 -1.176 1.098 4 3 OVC 196. NorthernArizona -0.461 -2.523 -3.362 3 7 BigSky 197. RhodeIsland -0.559 -1.975 -3.334 4 4 ATen 198. Maine -0.580 -1.167 0.237 3 6 AmEast 199. IUPUI -0.626 -1.755 -2.502 2 7 MidCon 200. CentralFlorida -0.814 -0.466 -1.852 3 6 TAAC 201. SMU -0.891 -2.679 -5.400 4 4 WAC 202. LouisianaLafayette -0.916 -0.756 -0.264 5 3 SunBelt 203. CoppinState -1.011 -1.543 -3.192 2 6 MEAC 204. Niagara -1.153 -0.772 -3.290 2 5 MAAC 205. Navy -1.190 -0.647 2.064 3 5 Patriot 206. BoiseState -1.304 -3.968 -3.348 2 5 BigWest 207. Southern -1.374 -0.271 -1.806 5 3 SWAC 208. AustinPeay -1.378 -0.819 1.152 3 5 OVC 209. Liberty -1.520 -2.988 -3.454 2 6 BigSouth 210. Wofford -1.622 -2.823 2.348 2 2 Southern 211. GeorgiaState -1.638 -3.178 -0.131 5 2 TAAC 212. Yale -1.745 -1.924 -5.526 3 6 Ivy 213. Valparaiso -1.973 -4.950 -9.279 1 7 MidCon 214. McNeeseState -2.084 -1.666 3.885 2 4 Southland 215. EastCarolina -2.149 -1.167 -1.007 4 3 Colonial 216. WeberState -2.184 -5.168 -7.885 0 6 BigSky 217. MarylandBaltimoreCo -2.326 -2.370 -4.769 3 5 Northeast 218. SamHoustonState -2.451 -4.492 -5.712 1 4 Southland 219. Marshall -2.472 -2.168 0.641 1 4 MAC 220. William&Mary -2.498 -3.245 -2.818 2 4 Colonial 221. TennesseeState -2.560 -2.788 -4.755 1 6 OVC 222. EastTennesseeState -2.646 -3.338 -4.520 1 7 Southern 223. MorganState -2.779 -3.589 -3.826 2 4 MEAC 224. St.Bonaventure -2.865 -3.893 -7.142 2 7 ATen 225. UCLA -2.890 -5.786 -11.257 1 6 PacTen 226. FloridaA&M -3.090 -4.014 -0.705 4 3 MEAC 227. CentralMichigan -3.118 -3.438 -3.896 2 5 MAC 228. CoastalCarolina -3.334 -2.398 -5.178 3 4 BigSouth 229. EasternIllinois -3.373 -5.187 -7.881 3 4 OVC 230. Hampton -3.431 -1.857 -0.319 3 4 MEAC 231. StonyBrook -3.436 -1.562 0.098 6 4 Independent 232. Wagner -3.571 -4.056 -4.297 3 5 Northeast 233. CentralConnecticut -3.773 -4.834 -2.730 4 3 Northeast 234. PortlandState -3.782 -4.992 -6.269 1 8 BigSky 235. SouthernMississippi -3.900 -2.663 1.189 5 3 CUSA 236. WesternIllinois -3.989 -5.322 -4.065 3 5 MidCon 237. CalStateNorthridge -4.049 -5.874 -3.677 3 5 BigSky 238. Columbia -4.135 -2.918 -0.352 0 6 Ivy 239. Grambling -4.346 -3.587 -4.142 2 4 SWAC 240. WestVirginia -4.441 -4.697 -7.096 3 5 BigEast 241. TexasSouthern -4.516 -4.701 -2.358 2 6 SWAC 242. EasternWashington -4.599 -3.650 -3.292 2 4 BigSky 243. FairleighDickinson -4.611 -4.778 -7.425 2 5 Northeast 244. Elon -4.722 -4.434 -4.838 3 5 BigSouth 245. AlabamaState -4.736 -1.922 2.129 4 0 SWAC 246. LongIsland -4.838 -4.054 -0.287 3 5 Northeast 247. Radford -4.917 -6.106 -5.902 5 7 BigSouth 248. SouthAlabama -4.969 -4.019 -2.560 5 4 SunBelt 249. Belmont -5.024 -4.718 -6.738 2 7 Independent 250. Mt.St.Marys -5.029 -8.605 -7.360 1 7 Northeast 251. Fordham -5.159 -5.944 -5.990 3 5 ATen 252. Jacksonville -5.182 -3.863 -4.358 2 5 TAAC 253. IllinoisChicago -5.182 -5.609 -2.897 1 6 MWC 254. Monmouth -5.252 -4.876 -3.445 3 4 Northeast 255. Dartmouth -5.266 -7.960 -8.749 1 6 Ivy 256. Tulsa -5.298 -7.579 -10.477 2 5 WAC 257. HighPoint -5.317 -4.395 -2.249 1 7 BigSouth 258. American -5.349 -5.229 -5.628 2 8 Colonial 259. Hofstra -5.447 -4.195 -2.426 3 5 AmEast 260. RobertMorris -5.452 -5.568 -3.362 2 5 Northeast 261. CalPoly -5.544 -7.272 -5.688 4 3 BigWest 262. Harvard -5.883 -6.613 -8.503 1 8 Ivy 263. PrairieViewA&M -6.018 -7.179 -0.777 1 4 SWAC 264. Ohio -6.343 -7.244 -8.336 2 5 MAC 265. TexasPanAmerican -6.473 -6.469 -4.112 3 6 Independent 266. BowlingGreen -6.515 -6.371 -6.645 4 6 MAC 267. FresnoState -6.603 -7.936 -6.817 3 6 WAC 268. NorthernIllinois -6.682 -8.568 -8.977 2 7 MAC 269. MissouriKansasCity -6.710 -6.775 -10.077 1 8 MidCon 270. WrightState -6.789 -7.783 -6.097 2 7 MWC 271. NewHampshire -6.845 -8.522 -7.904 3 6 AmEast 272. CalStateSacramento -6.845 -8.647 -7.950 0 7 BigSky 273. AirForce -7.124 -6.236 -7.946 2 6 MtnWest 274. AppalachianState -7.258 -7.216 -6.757 2 6 Southern 275. Iona -7.458 -6.766 -7.402 3 6 MAAC 276. ArkansasLittleRock -7.463 -8.220 -8.907 3 5 SunBelt 277. TroyState -7.658 -6.757 -2.484 3 5 TAAC 278. Lafayette -7.658 -9.139 -4.121 4 5 Patriot 279. UNCAsheville -7.727 -7.555 -9.845 2 5 BigSouth 280. Akron -7.825 -9.135 -7.379 2 7 MAC 281. JacksonvilleState -7.839 -6.394 -3.629 2 6 TAAC 282. SouthFlorida -7.983 -8.842 -8.001 2 6 CUSA 283. Gonzaga -8.043 -9.158 -7.170 2 6 WCC 284. TexasSanAntonio -8.104 -8.085 -8.387 3 5 Southland 285. St.FrancisPa. -8.313 -9.325 -12.966 1 6 Northeast 286. MoreheadState -8.433 -6.185 -1.515 1 4 OVC 287. TexasElPaso -8.698 -8.703 -7.695 2 5 WAC 288. CharlestonSouthern -8.749 -8.196 -3.747 2 4 BigSouth 289. MurrayState -8.907 -9.260 -6.984 3 5 OVC 290. Towson -8.995 -9.808 -8.568 0 8 AmEast 291. Albany -9.116 -8.884 -10.923 1 9 Independent 292. JacksonState -9.255 -5.568 -4.667 1 4 SWAC 293. Winthrop -9.752 -10.560 -11.090 1 6 BigSouth 294. Mercer -10.393 -10.263 -12.316 0 8 TAAC 295. LoyolaIll. -10.440 -9.743 -10.050 2 4 MWC 296. IllinoisState -11.545 -12.808 -11.071 1 7 MVC 297. NorfolkState -11.759 -10.523 -7.467 1 5 MEAC 298. ArkansasPineBluff -12.260 -11.350 -16.886 0 8 SWAC 299. Samford -12.418 -11.118 -8.642 2 7 TAAC 300. DelawareState -13.208 -9.817 -6.483 3 5 MEAC 301. AlabamaA&M -13.310 -10.319 -7.411 0 6 SWAC 302. SWTexasState -13.477 -11.322 -9.873 2 4 Southland 303. NorthCarolinaA&T -13.672 -10.254 -6.139 1 3 MEAC 304. MarylandEasternShore -13.811 -10.941 -11.322 1 4 MEAC 305. NichollsState -13.877 -13.979 -16.245 0 7 Southland 306. AlcornState -13.979 -13.746 -13.951 2 6 SWAC 307. SouthCarolinaState -14.127 -13.059 -10.802 1 3 MEAC 308. TexasArlington -14.620 -14.973 -12.632 1 6 Southland 309. ChicagoState -14.991 -14.740 -14.954 1 7 MidCon 310. FloridaAtlantic -15.288 -13.765 -12.650 3 6 TAAC 311. Princeton -15.493 -14.146 -18.874 0 7 Ivy 312. SELouisiana -16.515 -15.428 -20.880 0 6 Southland 313. St.FrancisN.Y. -17.137 -15.911 -15.298 0 8 Northeast 314. MississippiValley -17.899 -14.685 -16.032 1 3 SWAC 315. Centenary -21.568 -19.115 -20.992 0 10 Independent 316. CalStateFullerton -21.605 -23.518 -21.178 0 6 BigWest Mon Dec 18 18:54:05 CST 2000Calculations by Curtis Schmelling, made possible by MacPerl and Java!
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